#5 PACIFIC GUARDIAN // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

PACIFIC GUARDIAN · MMSI 316016131 · 🇨🇦 CA · Primary Port: Victoria

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: PACIFIC GUARDIAN ranks #5 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 472 anomalous detections across 11 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: ZIGZAG, SPEED_ANOMALY.

Global Rank

#5

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

472

Months Active

11/12

Unique Ports

2

Speed Anomalies

110

Max Speed

50.0 kn

Monthly Detection Volume

1
59

10
29

11
4

12
59

2
51

3
30

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

ZIGZAG

122

SPEED_ANOMALY

110

Key Intelligence Findings

Velocity Fraud — 110 Speed Anomaly Events

AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 50.0 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.

Evasion Navigation — 122 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 203.7° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.

Port Detection Summary

🇨🇦

Victoria

230

avg 0.712

🇨🇦

Vancouver

2

avg 0.509

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
January 2024	59	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
February 2024	51	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
March 2024	30	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
May 2024	16	CRITICAL	0.9500	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
June 2024	60	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
July 2024	50	CRITICAL	0.9500	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
August 2024	62	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
September 2024	52	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
October 2024	29	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
November 2024	4	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
December 2024	59	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	CONFIRMED	110 events · max 50.0 kn	CRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	122 events · max COG std 203.7°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	POSSIBLE	2 unique ports	MEDIUM

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Victoria and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

11 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

472 detections across 232 individual events (avg 42.9/month)

Active Techniques

⟳ ZIGZAG ⚡ SPEED

Threat Category

AIS Anomaly — Single or dual technique pattern

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 203.7°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 122 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
122 events

MAR-T001

RTE-ANO-001

Velocity Fraud

AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 50.0 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 110 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
110 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.9091

Global Rank

#5

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	0	×3	0.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	0	×2	0.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	110	×1	110.0
ZIGZAG	122	×0.5	61.0
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections

Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 110 events · Max: 50.0 kn

AIS SOG FRAUD

Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. PACIFIC GUARDIAN reports speeds up to 50.0 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.

Total Events

110

Max Reported SOG

50.0 kn

Indicator ID

RTE-ANO-001

Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)

Date	Max SOG (kn)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 122 events · Max COG std: 203.7°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. PACIFIC GUARDIAN records COG deviations up to 203.7° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

122

Max COG Std Dev

203.7°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

Port History

2 distinct port areas · CA primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Victoria	🇨🇦	230	0.7115	2.8	STANDARD
Vancouver	🇨🇦	2	0.5086	59.9	STANDARD

🇨🇦 Victoria — Port Profile

230 detections · Avg score 0.7115 · Avg distance 2.8 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

230

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.7115

Avg Distance NM

2.8

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Victoria

ZIGZAG

122

SPEED_ANOMALY

108

Coordinates: 48.424°N, 123.370°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

230 of 232 total detections (99.1%)

Avg Distance from Port

2.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇨🇦 Vancouver — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.5086 · Avg distance 59.9 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.5086

Avg Distance NM

59.9

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Vancouver

SPEED_ANOMALY

2

Coordinates: 49.283°N, 123.120°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

2 of 232 total detections (0.9%)

Avg Distance from Port

59.9 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

PACIFIC GUARDIAN

MMSI

316016131

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇨🇦 CA

MID Code

316 → 🇨🇦 CA

Primary Port

Victoria

Detection Period

11 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 472 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use

Speed Capability

Reported 50.0 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)