#20 PATRONE // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

PATRONE · MMSI 998975541 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Pensacola

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: PATRONE ranks #20 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 338 anomalous detections across 12 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: POSITION_JUMP, ZIGZAG, SPEED_ANOMALY.

Global Rank

#20

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

338

Months Active

12/12

Unique Ports

11

Position Jumps

82

GPS spoofing

Speed Anomalies

101

Max Speed

102.2 kn

Max Jump

3,656km

Monthly Detection Volume

1
16

10
34

11
30

12
51

2
36

3
31

4
23

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

SPEED_ANOMALY

101

POSITION_JUMP

82

ZIGZAG

38

Key Intelligence Findings

GPS Spoofing — 82 Position Jumps

AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 3,656 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.

Velocity Fraud — 101 Speed Anomaly Events

AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.

Evasion Navigation — 38 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 133.4° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.

Port Detection Summary

🇺🇸

Pensacola

142

avg 0.758

🇺🇸

New Orleans

42

avg 0.771

🇺🇸

Mobile

21

avg 0.771

🇨🇺

Havana

5

avg 0.923

🇯🇲

Kingston

3

avg 0.844

🇺🇸

Tampa

2

avg 0.728

🇲🇽

Veracruz

2

avg 0.807

🇺🇸

Jacksonville

1

avg 0.879

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
January 2024	16	CRITICAL	0.9500	Pensacola	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP
February 2024	36	CRITICAL	0.9131	Pensacola	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
March 2024	31	CRITICAL	0.9500	Pensacola	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
April 2024	23	CRITICAL	0.9263	New Orleans	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
May 2024	9	HIGH	0.8024	Pensacola	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP
June 2024	30	CRITICAL	0.9500	Mobile	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
July 2024	16	HIGH	0.8795	Pensacola	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
August 2024	33	CRITICAL	0.9500	Colon	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
September 2024	29	CRITICAL	0.9500	Boston	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
October 2024	34	CRITICAL	0.9500	Pensacola	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
November 2024	30	CRITICAL	0.9500	New Orleans	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
December 2024	51	CRITICAL	0.9500	Pensacola	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	CONFIRMED	82 jumps · max 3655.6km	CRITICAL
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	CONFIRMED	101 events · max 102.2 kn	CRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	38 events · max COG std 133.4°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	CONFIRMED	11 unique ports	HIGH
High-Risk Port Proximity: Havana	CONFIRMED	5 detections	HIGH
High-Risk Port Proximity: Kingston	CONFIRMED	3 detections	HIGH
High-Risk Port Proximity: Port of Spain	CONFIRMED	0 detections	HIGH
High-Risk Port Proximity: Veracruz	CONFIRMED	2 detections	HIGH

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Pensacola and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

338 detections across 221 individual events (avg 28.2/month)

Active Techniques

⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG ⚡ SPEED

Threat Category

High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T001

RTE-ANO-001

Velocity Fraud

AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 101 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
101 events

MAR-T002

AIS-MAN-003

GPS Spoofing

GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 3655.6km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 82 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
82 events

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 133.4°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 38 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
38 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.9268

Global Rank

#20

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	0	×3	0.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	82	×2	164.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	101	×1	101.0
ZIGZAG	38	×0.5	19.0
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections

Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 101 events · Max: 102.2 kn

AIS SOG FRAUD

Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. PATRONE reports speeds up to 102.2 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.

Total Events

101

Max Reported SOG

102.2 kn

Indicator ID

RTE-ANO-001

Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)

Date	Max SOG (kn)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

⊕ Position Jump Detections

Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 82 events · Max jump: 3,656 km

GPS SPOOFING

Position jumps confirm GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. PATRONE has 82 confirmed position jumps with maximum displacement of 3,656 km.

Total Events

82

Max Jump Distance

3,656 km

Indicator ID

AIS-MAN-003

Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)

Date	Jump (km)	Implied Speed (kn)	Score	Severity	Spoofed-To Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 38 events · Max COG std: 133.4°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. PATRONE records COG deviations up to 133.4° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

38

Max COG Std Dev

133.4°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

Port History

11 distinct port areas · US primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Pensacola	🇺🇸	142	0.7582	46.2	STANDARD
New Orleans	🇺🇸	42	0.7715	126.9	STANDARD
Mobile	🇺🇸	21	0.7714	66.3	STANDARD
Havana	🇨🇺	5	0.9229	200.3	HIGH
Kingston	🇯🇲	3	0.8435	156.8	MEDIUM
Tampa	🇺🇸	2	0.7275	121.3	STANDARD
Veracruz	🇲🇽	2	0.8069	685.7	HIGH
Jacksonville	🇺🇸	1	0.8790	59.8	STANDARD

🇺🇸 Pensacola — Port Profile

142 detections · Avg score 0.7582 · Avg distance 46.2 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

142

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.7582

Avg Distance NM

46.2

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Pensacola

SPEED_ANOMALY

56

POSITION_JUMP

53

ZIGZAG

33

Coordinates: 30.421°N, 87.216°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

142 of 221 total detections (64.3%)

Avg Distance from Port

46.2 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 New Orleans — Port Profile

42 detections · Avg score 0.7715 · Avg distance 126.9 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

42

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7715

Avg Distance NM

126.9

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at New Orleans

SPEED_ANOMALY

22

POSITION_JUMP

16

ZIGZAG

4

Coordinates: 29.944°N, 90.063°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

42 of 221 total detections (19.0%)

Avg Distance from Port

126.9 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Mobile — Port Profile

21 detections · Avg score 0.7714 · Avg distance 66.3 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

21

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7714

Avg Distance NM

66.3

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Mobile

SPEED_ANOMALY

17

POSITION_JUMP

4

Coordinates: 30.694°N, 88.044°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

21 of 221 total detections (9.5%)

Avg Distance from Port

66.3 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇨🇺 Havana — Port Profile

5 detections · Avg score 0.9229 · Avg distance 200.3 NM

HIGH RISK

⚠ HIGH RISK PORT: Havana is a known high-risk transshipment zone associated with illicit maritime activity. Detections here require elevated scrutiny.

Total Detections

5

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9229

Avg Distance NM

200.3

Possible spoofed coords

Detection Types at Havana

POSITION_JUMP

3

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

ZIGZAG

1

Coordinates: 23.137°N, 82.377°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇺 CU

Risk Classification

HIGH — HIGH

Detection Share

5 of 221 total detections (2.3%)

Avg Distance from Port

200.3 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates

🇯🇲 Kingston — Port Profile

3 detections · Avg score 0.8435 · Avg distance 156.8 NM

MEDIUM RISK

⚡ MEDIUM RISK PORT: Kingston warrants monitoring. Cross-reference with regional enforcement intelligence.

Total Detections

3

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.8435

Avg Distance NM

156.8

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Kingston

POSITION_JUMP

2

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 17.994°N, 76.794°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇯🇲 JM

Risk Classification

MEDIUM — MEDIUM

Detection Share

3 of 221 total detections (1.4%)

Avg Distance from Port

156.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Tampa — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.7275 · Avg distance 121.3 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7275

Avg Distance NM

121.3

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Tampa

POSITION_JUMP

1

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 27.946°N, 82.457°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

2 of 221 total detections (0.9%)

Avg Distance from Port

121.3 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇲🇽 Veracruz — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.8069 · Avg distance 685.7 NM

HIGH RISK

⚠ HIGH RISK PORT: Veracruz is a known high-risk transshipment zone associated with illicit maritime activity. Detections here require elevated scrutiny.

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.8069

Avg Distance NM

685.7

Possible spoofed coords

Detection Types at Veracruz

POSITION_JUMP

1

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 19.197°N, 96.134°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇲🇽 MX

Risk Classification

HIGH — HIGH

Detection Share

2 of 221 total detections (0.9%)

Avg Distance from Port

685.7 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates

🇺🇸 Jacksonville — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.8790 · Avg distance 59.8 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.8790

Avg Distance NM

59.8

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Jacksonville

POSITION_JUMP

1

Coordinates: 30.332°N, 81.660°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 221 total detections (0.5%)

Avg Distance from Port

59.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

PATRONE

MMSI

998975541

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇺🇸 US

MID Code

998 → 🇺🇸 US

Primary Port

Pensacola

Detection Period

12 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 338 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use

Speed Capability

Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)