#29 DANNY BOY // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

DANNY BOY · MMSI 338238052 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Seattle

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: DANNY BOY ranks #29 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 314 anomalous detections across 12 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: POSITION_JUMP, ZIGZAG, SPEED_ANOMALY.

Global Rank

#29

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

314

Months Active

12/12

Unique Ports

9

Position Jumps

21

GPS spoofing

Speed Anomalies

139

Max Speed

102.2 kn

Max Jump

3,988km

Monthly Detection Volume

1
15

10
39

11
31

12
30

2
23

3
25

4
31

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

SPEED_ANOMALY

139

ZIGZAG

34

POSITION_JUMP

21

Key Intelligence Findings

GPS Spoofing — 21 Position Jumps

AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 3,988 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.

Velocity Fraud — 139 Speed Anomaly Events

AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.

Evasion Navigation — 34 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 168.0° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.

Port Detection Summary

🇺🇸

Seattle

157

avg 0.796

🇺🇸

Portland OR

13

avg 0.787

🇺🇸

Tacoma

10

avg 0.731

🇨🇦

Victoria

5

avg 0.694

🇺🇸

Los Angeles

3

avg 0.950

🇺🇸

San Diego

2

avg 0.950

🇨🇦

Vancouver

2

avg 0.763

🇺🇸

San Francisco

1

avg 0.900

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
January 2024	15	HIGH	0.8384	Victoria	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
February 2024	23	CRITICAL	0.9500	Seattle	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
March 2024	25	CRITICAL	0.9071	Seattle	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP
April 2024	31	CRITICAL	0.9500	Portland OR	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
May 2024	20	CRITICAL	0.9500	Seattle	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
June 2024	25	CRITICAL	0.9500	Seattle	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP
July 2024	29	CRITICAL	0.9500	Seattle	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
August 2024	24	CRITICAL	0.9500	Seattle	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
September 2024	22	CRITICAL	0.9500	Seattle	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
October 2024	39	CRITICAL	0.9500	Seattle	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
November 2024	31	CRITICAL	0.9500	Seattle	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP
December 2024	30	CRITICAL	0.9500	Seattle	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	CONFIRMED	21 jumps · max 3987.5km	CRITICAL
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	CONFIRMED	139 events · max 102.2 kn	CRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	34 events · max COG std 168.0°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	CONFIRMED	9 unique ports	HIGH

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Seattle and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

314 detections across 194 individual events (avg 26.2/month)

Active Techniques

⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG ⚡ SPEED

Threat Category

High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T001

RTE-ANO-001

Velocity Fraud

AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 139 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
139 events

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 168.0°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 34 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
34 events

MAR-T002

AIS-MAN-003

GPS Spoofing

GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 3987.5km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 21 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
21 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.9371

Global Rank

#29

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	0	×3	0.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	21	×2	42.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	139	×1	139.0
ZIGZAG	34	×0.5	17.0
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections

Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 139 events · Max: 102.2 kn

AIS SOG FRAUD

Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. DANNY BOY reports speeds up to 102.2 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.

Total Events

139

Max Reported SOG

102.2 kn

Indicator ID

RTE-ANO-001

Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)

Date	Max SOG (kn)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

⊕ Position Jump Detections

Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 21 events · Max jump: 3,988 km

GPS SPOOFING

Position jumps confirm GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. DANNY BOY has 21 confirmed position jumps with maximum displacement of 3,988 km.

Total Events

21

Max Jump Distance

3,988 km

Indicator ID

AIS-MAN-003

Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)

Date	Jump (km)	Implied Speed (kn)	Score	Severity	Spoofed-To Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 34 events · Max COG std: 168.0°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. DANNY BOY records COG deviations up to 168.0° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

34

Max COG Std Dev

168.0°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

Port History

9 distinct port areas · US primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Seattle	🇺🇸	157	0.7958	23.7	STANDARD
Portland OR	🇺🇸	13	0.7866	154.8	STANDARD
Tacoma	🇺🇸	10	0.7311	33.3	STANDARD
Victoria	🇨🇦	5	0.6935	15.5	STANDARD
Los Angeles	🇺🇸	3	0.9500	1005.5	STANDARD
San Diego	🇺🇸	2	0.9500	895.2	STANDARD
Vancouver	🇨🇦	2	0.7626	208.8	STANDARD
San Francisco	🇺🇸	1	0.9000	507.0	STANDARD

🇺🇸 Seattle — Port Profile

157 detections · Avg score 0.7958 · Avg distance 23.7 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

157

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.7958

Avg Distance NM

23.7

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Seattle

SPEED_ANOMALY

115

ZIGZAG

31

POSITION_JUMP

11

Coordinates: 47.601°N, 122.334°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

157 of 194 total detections (80.9%)

Avg Distance from Port

23.7 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Portland OR — Port Profile

13 detections · Avg score 0.7866 · Avg distance 154.8 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

13

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7866

Avg Distance NM

154.8

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Portland OR

SPEED_ANOMALY

8

POSITION_JUMP

3

ZIGZAG

2

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

13 of 194 total detections (6.7%)

Avg Distance from Port

154.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Tacoma — Port Profile

10 detections · Avg score 0.7311 · Avg distance 33.3 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

10

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7311

Avg Distance NM

33.3

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Tacoma

SPEED_ANOMALY

8

POSITION_JUMP

2

Coordinates: 47.254°N, 122.411°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

10 of 194 total detections (5.2%)

Avg Distance from Port

33.3 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇨🇦 Victoria — Port Profile

5 detections · Avg score 0.6935 · Avg distance 15.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

5

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.6935

Avg Distance NM

15.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Victoria

SPEED_ANOMALY

4

POSITION_JUMP

1

Coordinates: 48.424°N, 123.370°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

5 of 194 total detections (2.6%)

Avg Distance from Port

15.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Los Angeles — Port Profile

3 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 1005.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

3

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9500

Avg Distance NM

1005.5

Possible spoofed coords

Detection Types at Los Angeles

POSITION_JUMP

2

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 33.729°N, 118.264°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

3 of 194 total detections (1.5%)

Avg Distance from Port

1005.5 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates

🇺🇸 San Diego — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 895.2 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9500

Avg Distance NM

895.2

Possible spoofed coords

Detection Types at San Diego

SPEED_ANOMALY

2

Coordinates: 32.715°N, 117.157°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

2 of 194 total detections (1.0%)

Avg Distance from Port

895.2 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates

🇨🇦 Vancouver — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.7626 · Avg distance 208.8 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7626

Avg Distance NM

208.8

Possible spoofed coords

Detection Types at Vancouver

POSITION_JUMP

1

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 49.283°N, 123.120°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

2 of 194 total detections (1.0%)

Avg Distance from Port

208.8 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates

🇺🇸 San Francisco — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.9000 · Avg distance 507.0 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9000

Avg Distance NM

507.0

Possible spoofed coords

Detection Types at San Francisco

ZIGZAG

1

Coordinates: 37.775°N, 122.419°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 194 total detections (0.5%)

Avg Distance from Port

507.0 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

DANNY BOY

MMSI

338238052

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇺🇸 US

MID Code

338 → 🇺🇸 US

Primary Port

Seattle

Detection Period

12 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 314 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use

Speed Capability

Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)