#40
CAROLINE M
● CRITICAL MMSI: 368325040
Detections
245
Score
0.95
Months
12
// QUANTUS MARITIME INTELLIGENCE // 2024 ANNUAL ASSESSMENT // RANK #40 OF 69,461 VESSELS //
Intelligence Overview
CAROLINE M · MMSI 368325040 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: New York
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: CAROLINE M ranks #40 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 245 anomalous detections across 12 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: ZIGZAG, DARK_VESSEL, SPEED_ANOMALY.
Global Rank
#40
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
245
Months Active
12/12
Unique Ports
1
Dark Events
1
AIS blackout
Speed Anomalies
23
Max Speed
102.2 kn
Monthly Detection Volume
1
15
10
29
11
21
12
22
2
14
3
18
4
12
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
ZIGZAG
107
SPEED_ANOMALY
23
DARK_VESSEL
1
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 1 Event
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where CAROLINE M was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
Velocity Fraud — 23 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 107 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 186.0° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.
Port Detection Summary
🇺🇸
New York
131
avg 0.858
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
MonthDetectionsSeverityScoreNearest PortAlert Types
January 2024 15 CRITICAL 0.9000 New York ZIGZAG
February 2024 14 CRITICAL 0.9500 New York ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
March 2024 18 MEDIUM 0.7201 New York ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY; DARK_VESSEL
April 2024 12 CRITICAL 0.9000 New York ZIGZAG
May 2024 15 CRITICAL 0.9000 New York ZIGZAG
June 2024 20 CRITICAL 0.9000 New York ZIGZAG
July 2024 22 CRITICAL 0.9500 New York SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
August 2024 29 CRITICAL 0.9500 New York ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
September 2024 28 CRITICAL 0.9500 New York ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
October 2024 29 CRITICAL 0.9500 New York SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
November 2024 21 CRITICAL 0.9500 New York ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
December 2024 22 CRITICAL 0.9500 New York ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
IndicatorStatusEvidenceConfidence
AIS Blackout / Dark VesselCONFIRMED1 events detectedCRITICAL
GPS Spoofing / Position JumpNOT DETECTED—LOW
Velocity Fraud / Speed AnomalyCONFIRMED23 events · max 102.2 knCRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / ZigzagCONFIRMED107 events · max COG std 186.0°HIGH
Ship-to-Ship RendezvousNOT DETECTED—LOW
Multi-Port OperationsPOSSIBLE1 unique portsMEDIUM
Operational Profile
Primary AO
New York and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
245 detections across 131 individual events (avg 20.4/month)
Active Techniques
⟳ ZIGZAG ◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 186.0°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 107 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
107 events
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 23 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
23 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 1 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.9142
Global Rank
#40
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)
IndicatorCountWeightContribution
DARK_VESSEL1×33.0
RENDEZVOUS0×40.0
POSITION_JUMP0×20.0
SPEED_ANOMALY23×123.0
ZIGZAG107×0.553.5
MaxSingleScore0.9500×5047.5
COMPOSITE TOTALNormalized [0,1]0.9500 CRITICAL
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 23 events · Max: 102.2 kn
AIS SOG FRAUD
Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. CAROLINE M reports speeds up to 102.2 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.
Total Events
23
Max Reported SOG
102.2 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
DateMax SOG (kn)ScoreSeverityPortCoordinates
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 107 events · Max COG std: 186.0°
EVASION PATTERN
Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. CAROLINE M records COG deviations up to 186.0° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.
Total Events
107
Max COG Std Dev
186.0°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
DateCOG Std Dev (°)ScoreSeverityPortCoordinates
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 1 AIS blackout events detected
AIS BLACKOUT
⚠ HIGH SIGNIFICANCE: Dark vessel events represent deliberate AIS transponder deactivation — a primary indicator of intentional surveillance evasion, covert cargo transfer, or sanctions circumvention.
Dark Vessel Events
1
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-03-21T06:00:02
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
40.6881°N, 74.0109°W — New York
AIS Gap Duration
6.3 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
6.6 knots SOG
Displacement
1.5 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5132 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
Port History
1 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
PortCountryDetectionsAvg ScoreAvg Dist NMRisk
New York🇺🇸1310.85766.1STANDARD
🇺🇸 New York — Port Profile
131 detections · Avg score 0.8576 · Avg distance 6.1 NM
LOW RISK
Total Detections
131
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.8576
Avg Distance NM
6.1
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at New York
ZIGZAG
107
SPEED_ANOMALY
23
DARK_VESSEL
1
Coordinates: 40.661°N, 74.044°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
131 of 131 total detections (100.0%)
Avg Distance from Port
6.1 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
CAROLINE M
MMSI
368325040
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
368 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
New York
Detection Period
12 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 245 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use
Speed Capability
Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)