Intelligence Overview
RANDOM CHAOS · MMSI 338443382 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Philadelphia
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#54
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
223
Months Active
7/12
Unique Ports
3
Dark Events
4
AIS blackout
Position Jumps
5
GPS spoofing
Speed Anomalies
24
Max Speed
53.7 kn
Max Jump
235km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 4 Events
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where RANDOM CHAOS was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
GPS Spoofing — 5 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 235 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Velocity Fraud — 24 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 53.7 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 58 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 151.0° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2024 | 12 | MEDIUM | 0.7250 | Philadelphia | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| July 2024 | 31 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Philadelphia | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP; DARK_VESSEL |
| August 2024 | 33 | HIGH | 0.7803 | Philadelphia | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY; DARK_VESSEL |
| September 2024 | 56 | HIGH | 0.8906 | Philadelphia | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP; DARK_VESSEL |
| October 2024 | 34 | HIGH | 0.8201 | Philadelphia | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL; POSITION_JUMP |
| November 2024 | 44 | HIGH | 0.8303 | Philadelphia | POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| December 2024 | 13 | MEDIUM | 0.6962 | Philadelphia | ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL; SPEED_ANOMALY |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | CONFIRMED | 4 events detected | CRITICAL |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 5 jumps · max 234.9km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | CONFIRMED | 24 events · max 53.7 kn | CRITICAL |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 58 events · max COG std 151.0° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | POSSIBLE | 3 unique ports | MEDIUM |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Philadelphia and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
7 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
223 detections across 91 individual events (avg 31.9/month)
Active Techniques
⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG ◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 151.0°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 58 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
58 events
58 events
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 53.7 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 24 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
24 events
24 events
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 234.9km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 5 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
5 events
5 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 4 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
4 events
4 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.8132
Global Rank
#54
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 4 | ×3 | 12.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 5 | ×2 | 10.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 24 | ×1 | 24.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 58 | ×0.5 | 29.0 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 24 events · Max: 53.7 kn
Total Events
24
Max Reported SOG
53.7 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
| Date | Max SOG (kn) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 5 events · Max jump: 235 km
Total Events
5
Max Jump Distance
235 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 58 events · Max COG std: 151.0°
Total Events
58
Max COG Std Dev
151.0°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 4 AIS blackout events detected
Dark Vessel Events
4
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-10-09T05:11:15
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
39.5544°N, 74.4060°W — Philadelphia
AIS Gap Duration
15.9 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
102.3 knots SOG
Displacement
40.8 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6982 · MEDIUM
Assessment
High-speed approach (102.3 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-11-04T07:04:51
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
41.3676°N, 73.0153°W — New York
AIS Gap Duration
8.7 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
102.3 knots SOG
Displacement
61.9 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6710 · HIGH
Assessment
High-speed approach (102.3 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #3 — 2024-11-13T01:45:53
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
39.3372°N, 74.4173°W — Philadelphia
AIS Gap Duration
6.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
102.3 knots SOG
Displacement
48.9 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5142 · LOW
Assessment
High-speed approach (102.3 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #4 — 2024-12-05T17:17:16
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
39.5772°N, 74.4169°W — Philadelphia
AIS Gap Duration
6.6 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
102.3 knots SOG
Displacement
39.6 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5128 · LOW
Assessment
High-speed approach (102.3 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
Port History
3 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 | 87 | 0.7525 | 43.4 | STANDARD |
| New York | 🇺🇸 | 3 | 0.7289 | 64.3 | STANDARD |
| Norfolk | 🇺🇸 | 1 | 0.7537 | 98.0 | STANDARD |
🇺🇸 Philadelphia — Port Profile
87 detections · Avg score 0.7525 · Avg distance 43.4 NM
Total Detections
87
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.7525
Avg Distance NM
43.4
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Philadelphia
Coordinates: 39.952°N, 75.144°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
87 of 91 total detections (95.6%)
Avg Distance from Port
43.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 New York — Port Profile
3 detections · Avg score 0.7289 · Avg distance 64.3 NM
Total Detections
3
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7289
Avg Distance NM
64.3
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at New York
Coordinates: 40.661°N, 74.044°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
3 of 91 total detections (3.3%)
Avg Distance from Port
64.3 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Norfolk — Port Profile
1 detections · Avg score 0.7537 · Avg distance 98.0 NM
Total Detections
1
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7537
Avg Distance NM
98.0
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Norfolk
Coordinates: 36.847°N, 76.293°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
1 of 91 total detections (1.1%)
Avg Distance from Port
98.0 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
RANDOM CHAOS
MMSI
338443382
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
338 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
Philadelphia
Detection Period
7 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 223 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use
Speed Capability
Reported 53.7 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)