Intelligence Overview
VICTORY · MMSI 367480260 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Detroit
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#99
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
172
Months Active
11/12
Unique Ports
5
Dark Events
3
AIS blackout
Position Jumps
1
GPS spoofing
Speed Anomalies
11
Max Speed
102.2 kn
Max Jump
258km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 3 Events
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where VICTORY was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
GPS Spoofing — 1 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 258 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Velocity Fraud — 11 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 66 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 138.2° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2024 | 9 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Detroit | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| March 2024 | 5 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | Detroit | ZIGZAG |
| April 2024 | 21 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Detroit | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| May 2024 | 27 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Detroit | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| June 2024 | 10 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Detroit | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| July 2024 | 13 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | Toronto | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| August 2024 | 26 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Detroit | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| September 2024 | 15 | HIGH | 0.8320 | Detroit | ZIGZAG |
| October 2024 | 16 | MEDIUM | 0.7241 | Thunder Bay | ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| November 2024 | 16 | HIGH | 0.8363 | Chicago | ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL; POSITION_JUMP |
| December 2024 | 14 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | Chicago | ZIGZAG |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | CONFIRMED | 3 events detected | CRITICAL |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 1 jumps · max 258.0km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | CONFIRMED | 11 events · max 102.2 kn | CRITICAL |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 66 events · max COG std 138.2° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | CONFIRMED | 5 unique ports | HIGH |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Detroit and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
11 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
172 detections across 81 individual events (avg 15.6/month)
Active Techniques
⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG ◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 138.2°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 66 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
66 events
66 events
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 11 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
11 events
11 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 3 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
3 events
3 events
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 258.0km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 1 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events
1 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.8948
Global Rank
#99
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 3 | ×3 | 9.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 1 | ×2 | 2.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 11 | ×1 | 11.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 66 | ×0.5 | 33.0 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 11 events · Max: 102.2 kn
Total Events
11
Max Reported SOG
102.2 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
| Date | Max SOG (kn) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 1 events · Max jump: 258 km
Total Events
1
Max Jump Distance
258 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 66 events · Max COG std: 138.2°
Total Events
66
Max COG Std Dev
138.2°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 3 AIS blackout events detected
Dark Vessel Events
3
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-10-14T12:12:43
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
45.2659°N, 82.1366°W — Toronto
AIS Gap Duration
7.1 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
9.4 knots SOG
Displacement
152.6 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5772 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-10-19T05:01:14
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
46.8144°N, 85.2609°W — Thunder Bay
AIS Gap Duration
7.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
10.1 knots SOG
Displacement
186.8 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5585 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #3 — 2024-11-06T01:27:15
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
47.0840°N, 84.9420°W — Thunder Bay
AIS Gap Duration
12.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
9.0 knots SOG
Displacement
190.5 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6818 · MEDIUM
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
Port History
5 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | 🇺🇸 | 42 | 0.6895 | 115.2 | STANDARD |
| Thunder Bay | 🇨🇦 | 30 | 0.6764 | 146.8 | STANDARD |
| Duluth | 🇺🇸 | 4 | 0.6377 | 32.0 | STANDARD |
| Chicago | 🇺🇸 | 4 | 0.7176 | 57.9 | STANDARD |
| Toronto | 🇨🇦 | 1 | 0.5772 | 152.6 | STANDARD |
🇺🇸 Detroit — Port Profile
42 detections · Avg score 0.6895 · Avg distance 115.2 NM
Total Detections
42
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.6895
Avg Distance NM
115.2
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Detroit
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
42 of 81 total detections (51.9%)
Avg Distance from Port
115.2 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇨🇦 Thunder Bay — Port Profile
30 detections · Avg score 0.6764 · Avg distance 146.8 NM
Total Detections
30
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.6764
Avg Distance NM
146.8
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Thunder Bay
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇨🇦 CA
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
30 of 81 total detections (37.0%)
Avg Distance from Port
146.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Duluth — Port Profile
4 detections · Avg score 0.6377 · Avg distance 32.0 NM
Total Detections
4
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.6377
Avg Distance NM
32.0
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Duluth
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
4 of 81 total detections (4.9%)
Avg Distance from Port
32.0 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Chicago — Port Profile
4 detections · Avg score 0.7176 · Avg distance 57.9 NM
Total Detections
4
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7176
Avg Distance NM
57.9
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Chicago
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
4 of 81 total detections (4.9%)
Avg Distance from Port
57.9 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇨🇦 Toronto — Port Profile
1 detections · Avg score 0.5772 · Avg distance 152.6 NM
Total Detections
1
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.5772
Avg Distance NM
152.6
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Toronto
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇨🇦 CA
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
1 of 81 total detections (1.2%)
Avg Distance from Port
152.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
VICTORY
MMSI
367480260
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
367 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
Detroit
Detection Period
11 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 172 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use
Speed Capability
Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)