#139 NOR'EASTER // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

NOR'EASTER · MMSI 538002783 · 🏴 US · Primary Port: Boston

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: NOR'EASTER ranks #139 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 144 anomalous detections across 12 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: ZIGZAG, DARK_VESSEL, SPEED_ANOMALY.

Global Rank

#139

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

144

Months Active

12/12

Unique Ports

3

Dark Events

5

AIS blackout

Speed Anomalies

2

Max Speed

98.9 kn

Monthly Detection Volume

1
13

10
3

11
10

12
8

2
10

3
12

4
16

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

ZIGZAG

65

DARK_VESSEL

5

SPEED_ANOMALY

2

Key Intelligence Findings

AIS Blackout Confirmed — 5 Events

Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where NOR'EASTER was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.

Velocity Fraud — 2 Speed Anomaly Events

AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 98.9 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.

Evasion Navigation — 65 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 152.6° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.

Port Detection Summary

🇺🇸

Boston

41

avg 0.679

🇺🇸

Portland ME

24

avg 0.622

🇨🇦

Saint John

7

avg 0.667

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
January 2024	13	HIGH	0.7547	Portland ME	ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
February 2024	10	MEDIUM	0.7419	Portland ME	ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
March 2024	12	MEDIUM	0.7196	Portland ME	ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
April 2024	16	HIGH	0.8447	Boston	ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL; SPEED_ANOMALY
May 2024	13	CRITICAL	0.9500	Portland ME	ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
June 2024	13	HIGH	0.7632	Boston	ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
July 2024	17	CRITICAL	0.9000	Boston	ZIGZAG
August 2024	15	HIGH	0.7885	Boston	ZIGZAG
September 2024	14	MEDIUM	0.7218	Boston	ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
October 2024	3	CRITICAL	0.9122	Portland ME	SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
November 2024	10	HIGH	0.8622	Boston	ZIGZAG
December 2024	8	HIGH	0.8620	Boston	ZIGZAG

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	CONFIRMED	5 events detected	CRITICAL
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	CONFIRMED	2 events · max 98.9 kn	CRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	65 events · max COG std 152.6°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	POSSIBLE	3 unique ports	MEDIUM

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Boston and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

144 detections across 72 individual events (avg 12.0/month)

Active Techniques

⟳ ZIGZAG ◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED

Threat Category

High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 152.6°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 65 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
65 events

MAR-T004

AIS-MAN-001

AIS Blackout

Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 5 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
5 events

MAR-T001

RTE-ANO-001

Velocity Fraud

AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 98.9 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 2 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
2 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.8184

Global Rank

#139

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	5	×3	15.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	0	×2	0.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	2	×1	2.0
ZIGZAG	65	×0.5	32.5
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections

Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 2 events · Max: 98.9 kn

AIS SOG FRAUD

Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. NOR'EASTER reports speeds up to 98.9 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.

Total Events

2

Max Reported SOG

98.9 kn

Indicator ID

RTE-ANO-001

Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)

Date	Max SOG (kn)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 65 events · Max COG std: 152.6°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. NOR'EASTER records COG deviations up to 152.6° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

65

Max COG Std Dev

152.6°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

◐ Dark Vessel Events

Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 5 AIS blackout events detected

AIS BLACKOUT

⚠ HIGH SIGNIFICANCE: Dark vessel events represent deliberate AIS transponder deactivation — a primary indicator of intentional surveillance evasion, covert cargo transfer, or sanctions circumvention.

Dark Vessel Events

5

Indicator

AIS-MAN-001

Risk Level

CRITICAL

◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-01-10T07:45:54

AIS BLACKOUT

Location

44.2735°N, 66.6286°W — Saint John

AIS Gap Duration

9.9 hours

Pre-Blackout Speed

10.7 knots SOG

Displacement

64.7 NM from port during gap

Score

0.6240 · LOW

Assessment

AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.

◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-02-08T03:12:57

AIS BLACKOUT

Location

43.9605°N, 67.3006°W — Saint John

AIS Gap Duration

9.1 hours

Pre-Blackout Speed

11.2 knots SOG

Displacement

94.9 NM from port during gap

Score

0.6442 · LOW

Assessment

AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.

◐ DARK EVENT #3 — 2024-03-21T06:00:09

AIS BLACKOUT

Location

42.9340°N, 69.7258°W — Portland ME

AIS Gap Duration

6.3 hours

Pre-Blackout Speed

11.0 knots SOG

Displacement

49.3 NM from port during gap

Score

0.5573 · LOW

Assessment

AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.

◐ DARK EVENT #4 — 2024-04-13T05:10:55

AIS BLACKOUT

Location

44.6836°N, 66.1921°W — Saint John

AIS Gap Duration

6.1 hours

Pre-Blackout Speed

7.8 knots SOG

Displacement

35.8 NM from port during gap

Score

0.5295 · LOW

Assessment

AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.

◐ DARK EVENT #5 — 2024-04-30T04:16:42

AIS BLACKOUT

Location

44.1360°N, 67.0014°W — Saint John

AIS Gap Duration

15.1 hours

Pre-Blackout Speed

9.3 knots SOG

Displacement

79.1 NM from port during gap

Score

0.7499 · MEDIUM

Assessment

AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.

Port History

3 distinct port areas · US primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Boston	🇺🇸	41	0.6794	9.8	STANDARD
Portland ME	🇺🇸	24	0.6215	34.4	STANDARD
Saint John	🇨🇦	7	0.6671	64.5	STANDARD

🇺🇸 Boston — Port Profile

41 detections · Avg score 0.6794 · Avg distance 9.8 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

41

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.6794

Avg Distance NM

9.8

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Boston

ZIGZAG

40

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 42.358°N, 71.051°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

41 of 72 total detections (56.9%)

Avg Distance from Port

9.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Portland ME — Port Profile

24 detections · Avg score 0.6215 · Avg distance 34.4 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

24

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.6215

Avg Distance NM

34.4

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Portland ME

ZIGZAG

22

DARK_VESSEL

1

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

24 of 72 total detections (33.3%)

Avg Distance from Port

34.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇨🇦 Saint John — Port Profile

7 detections · Avg score 0.6671 · Avg distance 64.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

7

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.6671

Avg Distance NM

64.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Saint John

DARK_VESSEL

4

ZIGZAG

3

Coordinates: 45.274°N, 66.063°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

7 of 72 total detections (9.7%)

Avg Distance from Port

64.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

NOR'EASTER

MMSI

538002783

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🏴 US

MID Code

538 → 🏴 US

Primary Port

Boston

Detection Period

12 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 144 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use

Speed Capability

Reported 98.9 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)