#141 LIZZY B MORAN // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

LIZZY B MORAN · MMSI 367472580 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: New Orleans

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: LIZZY B MORAN ranks #141 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 143 anomalous detections across 12 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: ZIGZAG, DARK_VESSEL.

Global Rank

#141

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

143

Months Active

12/12

Unique Ports

1

Dark Events

1

AIS blackout

Monthly Detection Volume

1
10

10
10

11
8

12
15

2
9

3
10

4
14

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

ZIGZAG

75

DARK_VESSEL

1

Key Intelligence Findings

AIS Blackout Confirmed — 1 Event

Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where LIZZY B MORAN was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.

Evasion Navigation — 75 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 176.7° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.

Port Detection Summary

🇺🇸

New Orleans

76

avg 0.828

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
January 2024	10	MEDIUM	0.7320	New Orleans	ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
February 2024	9	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG
March 2024	10	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG
April 2024	14	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG
May 2024	13	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG
June 2024	12	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG
July 2024	17	CRITICAL	0.9500	New Orleans	ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
August 2024	9	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG
September 2024	16	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG
October 2024	10	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG
November 2024	8	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG
December 2024	15	CRITICAL	0.9000	New Orleans	ZIGZAG

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	CONFIRMED	1 events detected	CRITICAL
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	75 events · max COG std 176.7°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	POSSIBLE	1 unique ports	MEDIUM

Operational Profile

Primary AO

New Orleans and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

143 detections across 76 individual events (avg 11.9/month)

Active Techniques

⟳ ZIGZAG ◐ DARK

Threat Category

AIS Anomaly — Single or dual technique pattern

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 176.7°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 75 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
75 events

MAR-T004

AIS-MAN-001

AIS Blackout

Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 1 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.8902

Global Rank

#141

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	1	×3	3.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	0	×2	0.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	0	×1	0.0
ZIGZAG	75	×0.5	37.5
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 75 events · Max COG std: 176.7°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. LIZZY B MORAN records COG deviations up to 176.7° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

75

Max COG Std Dev

176.7°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

◐ Dark Vessel Events

Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 1 AIS blackout events detected

AIS BLACKOUT

⚠ HIGH SIGNIFICANCE: Dark vessel events represent deliberate AIS transponder deactivation — a primary indicator of intentional surveillance evasion, covert cargo transfer, or sanctions circumvention.

Dark Vessel Events

1

Indicator

AIS-MAN-001

Risk Level

CRITICAL

◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-01-14T10:30:06

AIS BLACKOUT

Location

29.9438°N, 90.1700°W — New Orleans

AIS Gap Duration

9.5 hours

Pre-Blackout Speed

10.0 knots SOG

Displacement

5.1 NM from port during gap

Score

0.5808 · LOW

Assessment

AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.

Port History

1 distinct port areas · US primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
New Orleans	🇺🇸	76	0.8280	10.5	STANDARD

🇺🇸 New Orleans — Port Profile

76 detections · Avg score 0.8280 · Avg distance 10.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

76

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.8280

Avg Distance NM

10.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at New Orleans

ZIGZAG

75

DARK_VESSEL

1

Coordinates: 29.944°N, 90.063°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

76 of 76 total detections (100.0%)

Avg Distance from Port

10.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

LIZZY B MORAN

MMSI

367472580

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇺🇸 US

MID Code

367 → 🇺🇸 US

Primary Port

New Orleans

Detection Period

12 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 143 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use

Speed Capability

Within or near physical limits for vessel type

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)