#159 ANY EXCUSE // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

ANY EXCUSE · MMSI 338109401 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Wilmington NC

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: ANY EXCUSE ranks #159 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 131 anomalous detections across 11 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: POSITION_JUMP, ZIGZAG, SPEED_ANOMALY.

Global Rank

#159

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

131

Months Active

11/12

Unique Ports

7

Position Jumps

21

GPS spoofing

Speed Anomalies

30

Max Speed

102.2 kn

Max Jump

2,098km

Monthly Detection Volume

1
6

10
24

11
11

12
7

3
1

4
14

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

SPEED_ANOMALY

30

POSITION_JUMP

21

ZIGZAG

12

Key Intelligence Findings

GPS Spoofing — 21 Position Jumps

AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 2,098 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.

Velocity Fraud — 30 Speed Anomaly Events

AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.

Evasion Navigation — 12 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 147.9° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.

Port Detection Summary

🇺🇸

Wilmington NC

37

avg 0.786

🇺🇸

Charleston

20

avg 0.780

🇲🇽

Veracruz

2

avg 0.950

🇺🇸

Jacksonville

1

avg 0.950

🇺🇸

Port Everglades

1

avg 0.900

🇧🇸

Freeport

1

avg 0.950

🇺🇸

Chicago

1

avg 0.900

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
January 2024	6	CRITICAL	0.9500	Wilmington NC	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
March 2024	1	MEDIUM	0.5045	Charleston	SPEED_ANOMALY
April 2024	14	CRITICAL	0.9500	Wilmington NC	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
May 2024	14	CRITICAL	0.9163	Wilmington NC	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
June 2024	16	CRITICAL	0.9500	Wilmington NC	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
July 2024	18	CRITICAL	0.9500	Wilmington NC	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
August 2024	17	CRITICAL	0.9500	Wilmington NC	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
September 2024	3	MEDIUM	0.6415	Charleston	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP
October 2024	24	CRITICAL	0.9500	Wilmington NC	SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
November 2024	11	CRITICAL	0.9500	Wilmington NC	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
December 2024	7	CRITICAL	0.9500	Wilmington NC	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	CONFIRMED	21 jumps · max 2097.5km	CRITICAL
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	CONFIRMED	30 events · max 102.2 kn	CRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	12 events · max COG std 147.9°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	CONFIRMED	7 unique ports	HIGH
High-Risk Port Proximity: Veracruz	CONFIRMED	2 detections	HIGH

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Wilmington NC and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

11 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

131 detections across 63 individual events (avg 11.9/month)

Active Techniques

⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG ⚡ SPEED

Threat Category

High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T001

RTE-ANO-001

Velocity Fraud

AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 30 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
30 events

MAR-T002

AIS-MAN-003

GPS Spoofing

GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 2097.5km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 21 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
21 events

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 147.9°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 12 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
12 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.8784

Global Rank

#159

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	0	×3	0.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	21	×2	42.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	30	×1	30.0
ZIGZAG	12	×0.5	6.0
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections

Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 30 events · Max: 102.2 kn

AIS SOG FRAUD

Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. ANY EXCUSE reports speeds up to 102.2 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.

Total Events

30

Max Reported SOG

102.2 kn

Indicator ID

RTE-ANO-001

Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)

Date	Max SOG (kn)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

⊕ Position Jump Detections

Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 21 events · Max jump: 2,098 km

GPS SPOOFING

Position jumps confirm GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. ANY EXCUSE has 21 confirmed position jumps with maximum displacement of 2,098 km.

Total Events

21

Max Jump Distance

2,098 km

Indicator ID

AIS-MAN-003

Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)

Date	Jump (km)	Implied Speed (kn)	Score	Severity	Spoofed-To Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 12 events · Max COG std: 147.9°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. ANY EXCUSE records COG deviations up to 147.9° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

12

Max COG Std Dev

147.9°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

Port History

7 distinct port areas · US primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Wilmington NC	🇺🇸	37	0.7857	54.5	STANDARD
Charleston	🇺🇸	20	0.7804	150.6	STANDARD
Veracruz	🇲🇽	2	0.9500	153.8	HIGH
Jacksonville	🇺🇸	1	0.9500	56.6	STANDARD
Port Everglades	🇺🇸	1	0.9000	91.5	STANDARD
Freeport	🇧🇸	1	0.9500	421.7	STANDARD
Chicago	🇺🇸	1	0.9000	139.2	STANDARD

🇺🇸 Wilmington NC — Port Profile

37 detections · Avg score 0.7857 · Avg distance 54.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

37

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.7857

Avg Distance NM

54.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Wilmington NC

POSITION_JUMP

15

SPEED_ANOMALY

12

ZIGZAG

10

Coordinates: 34.235°N, 77.948°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

37 of 63 total detections (58.7%)

Avg Distance from Port

54.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Charleston — Port Profile

20 detections · Avg score 0.7804 · Avg distance 150.6 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

20

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7804

Avg Distance NM

150.6

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Charleston

SPEED_ANOMALY

16

POSITION_JUMP

4

Coordinates: 32.776°N, 79.931°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

20 of 63 total detections (31.7%)

Avg Distance from Port

150.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇲🇽 Veracruz — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 153.8 NM

HIGH RISK

⚠ HIGH RISK PORT: Veracruz is a known high-risk transshipment zone associated with illicit maritime activity. Detections here require elevated scrutiny.

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9500

Avg Distance NM

153.8

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Veracruz

POSITION_JUMP

1

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 19.197°N, 96.134°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇲🇽 MX

Risk Classification

HIGH — HIGH

Detection Share

2 of 63 total detections (3.2%)

Avg Distance from Port

153.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Jacksonville — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 56.6 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9500

Avg Distance NM

56.6

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Jacksonville

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 30.332°N, 81.660°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 63 total detections (1.6%)

Avg Distance from Port

56.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Port Everglades — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.9000 · Avg distance 91.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9000

Avg Distance NM

91.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Port Everglades

ZIGZAG

1

Coordinates: 26.083°N, 80.117°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 63 total detections (1.6%)

Avg Distance from Port

91.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇧🇸 Freeport — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 421.7 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9500

Avg Distance NM

421.7

Possible spoofed coords

Detection Types at Freeport

POSITION_JUMP

1

Coordinates: 26.526°N, 78.700°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇧🇸 BS

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 63 total detections (1.6%)

Avg Distance from Port

421.7 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates

🇺🇸 Chicago — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.9000 · Avg distance 139.2 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9000

Avg Distance NM

139.2

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Chicago

ZIGZAG

1

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 63 total detections (1.6%)

Avg Distance from Port

139.2 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

ANY EXCUSE

MMSI

338109401

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇺🇸 US

MID Code

338 → 🇺🇸 US

Primary Port

Wilmington NC

Detection Period

11 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 131 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use

Speed Capability

Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)