#169 SEASPAN ROGUE // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

SEASPAN ROGUE · MMSI 316007990 · 🇨🇦 CA · Primary Port: Vancouver

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: SEASPAN ROGUE ranks #169 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 125 anomalous detections across 9 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: ZIGZAG, SPEED_ANOMALY.

Global Rank

#169

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

125

Months Active

9/12

Unique Ports

3

Speed Anomalies

1

Max Speed

85.4 kn

Monthly Detection Volume

1
18

12
5

2
23

3
21

4
14

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

ZIGZAG

80

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Key Intelligence Findings

Velocity Fraud — 1 Speed Anomaly Events

AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 85.4 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.

Evasion Navigation — 80 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 154.4° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.

Port Detection Summary

🇨🇦

Vancouver

48

avg 0.767

🇨🇦

Victoria

32

avg 0.786

🇺🇸

Seattle

1

avg 0.900

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
January 2024	18	CRITICAL	0.9000	Vancouver	ZIGZAG
February 2024	23	CRITICAL	0.9500	Vancouver	ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
March 2024	21	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	ZIGZAG
April 2024	14	CRITICAL	0.9000	Vancouver	ZIGZAG
May 2024	10	CRITICAL	0.9000	Vancouver	ZIGZAG
June 2024	16	CRITICAL	0.9000	Vancouver	ZIGZAG
July 2024	14	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	ZIGZAG
August 2024	4	CRITICAL	0.9000	Victoria	ZIGZAG
December 2024	5	CRITICAL	0.9000	Vancouver	ZIGZAG

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	CONFIRMED	1 events · max 85.4 kn	CRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	80 events · max COG std 154.4°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	POSSIBLE	3 unique ports	MEDIUM

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Vancouver and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

9 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

125 detections across 81 individual events (avg 13.9/month)

Active Techniques

⟳ ZIGZAG ⚡ SPEED

Threat Category

AIS Anomaly — Single or dual technique pattern

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 154.4°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 80 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
80 events

MAR-T001

RTE-ANO-001

Velocity Fraud

AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 85.4 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 1 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.9056

Global Rank

#169

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	0	×3	0.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	0	×2	0.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	1	×1	1.0
ZIGZAG	80	×0.5	40.0
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections

Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 1 events · Max: 85.4 kn

AIS SOG FRAUD

Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. SEASPAN ROGUE reports speeds up to 85.4 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.

Total Events

1

Max Reported SOG

85.4 kn

Indicator ID

RTE-ANO-001

Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)

Date	Max SOG (kn)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 80 events · Max COG std: 154.4°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. SEASPAN ROGUE records COG deviations up to 154.4° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

80

Max COG Std Dev

154.4°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

Port History

3 distinct port areas · CA primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Vancouver	🇨🇦	48	0.7673	12.0	STANDARD
Victoria	🇨🇦	32	0.7858	24.4	STANDARD
Seattle	🇺🇸	1	0.9000	2.4	STANDARD

🇨🇦 Vancouver — Port Profile

48 detections · Avg score 0.7673 · Avg distance 12.0 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

48

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.7673

Avg Distance NM

12.0

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Vancouver

ZIGZAG

48

Coordinates: 49.283°N, 123.120°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

48 of 81 total detections (59.3%)

Avg Distance from Port

12.0 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇨🇦 Victoria — Port Profile

32 detections · Avg score 0.7858 · Avg distance 24.4 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

32

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7858

Avg Distance NM

24.4

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Victoria

ZIGZAG

31

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 48.424°N, 123.370°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

32 of 81 total detections (39.5%)

Avg Distance from Port

24.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Seattle — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.9000 · Avg distance 2.4 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9000

Avg Distance NM

2.4

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Seattle

ZIGZAG

1

Coordinates: 47.601°N, 122.334°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 81 total detections (1.2%)

Avg Distance from Port

2.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

SEASPAN ROGUE

MMSI

316007990

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇨🇦 CA

MID Code

316 → 🇨🇦 CA

Primary Port

Vancouver

Detection Period

9 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 125 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use

Speed Capability

Reported 85.4 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)