Intelligence Overview
HOT RAIL · MMSI 338226906 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Long Beach
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#184
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
116
Months Active
12/12
Unique Ports
6
Position Jumps
29
GPS spoofing
Speed Anomalies
34
Max Speed
102.2 kn
Max Jump
3,189km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
GPS Spoofing — 29 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 3,189 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Velocity Fraud — 34 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 14 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 146.7° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2024 | 2 | MEDIUM | 0.7119 | Long Beach | SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP |
| February 2024 | 4 | HIGH | 0.8102 | San Diego | POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| March 2024 | 12 | HIGH | 0.8368 | Los Angeles | POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| April 2024 | 15 | HIGH | 0.8609 | Long Beach | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP |
| May 2024 | 1 | MEDIUM | 0.5414 | Long Beach | SPEED_ANOMALY |
| June 2024 | 8 | HIGH | 0.8323 | Los Angeles | ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| July 2024 | 5 | HIGH | 0.8177 | Long Beach | SPEED_ANOMALY; POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG |
| August 2024 | 6 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Long Beach | ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| September 2024 | 19 | HIGH | 0.8425 | Long Beach | ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| October 2024 | 11 | HIGH | 0.8405 | Los Angeles | ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| November 2024 | 13 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Long Beach | POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| December 2024 | 20 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Long Beach | POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 29 jumps · max 3188.6km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | CONFIRMED | 34 events · max 102.2 kn | CRITICAL |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 14 events · max COG std 146.7° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | CONFIRMED | 6 unique ports | HIGH |
| High-Risk Port Proximity: Manzanillo | CONFIRMED | 2 detections | HIGH |
| High-Risk Port Proximity: Veracruz | CONFIRMED | 3 detections | HIGH |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Long Beach and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
116 detections across 77 individual events (avg 9.7/month)
Active Techniques
⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG ⚡ SPEED
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 34 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
34 events
34 events
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 3188.6km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 29 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
29 events
29 events
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 146.7°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 14 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
14 events
14 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.8287
Global Rank
#184
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 0 | ×3 | 0.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 29 | ×2 | 58.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 34 | ×1 | 34.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 14 | ×0.5 | 7.0 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 34 events · Max: 102.2 kn
Total Events
34
Max Reported SOG
102.2 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
| Date | Max SOG (kn) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 29 events · Max jump: 3,189 km
Total Events
29
Max Jump Distance
3,189 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 14 events · Max COG std: 146.7°
Total Events
14
Max COG Std Dev
146.7°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
Port History
6 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach | 🇺🇸 | 42 | 0.7248 | 48.9 | STANDARD |
| San Diego | 🇺🇸 | 21 | 0.7012 | 100.0 | STANDARD |
| Los Angeles | 🇺🇸 | 7 | 0.7403 | 75.4 | STANDARD |
| Veracruz | 🇲🇽 | 3 | 0.8174 | 270.6 | HIGH |
| Manzanillo | 🇲🇽 | 2 | 0.8498 | 327.2 | HIGH |
| Brownsville | 🇺🇸 | 2 | 0.8262 | 146.9 | STANDARD |
🇺🇸 Long Beach — Port Profile
42 detections · Avg score 0.7248 · Avg distance 48.9 NM
Total Detections
42
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.7248
Avg Distance NM
48.9
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Long Beach
Coordinates: 33.754°N, 118.216°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
42 of 77 total detections (54.5%)
Avg Distance from Port
48.9 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 San Diego — Port Profile
21 detections · Avg score 0.7012 · Avg distance 100.0 NM
Total Detections
21
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7012
Avg Distance NM
100.0
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at San Diego
Coordinates: 32.715°N, 117.157°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
21 of 77 total detections (27.3%)
Avg Distance from Port
100.0 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Los Angeles — Port Profile
7 detections · Avg score 0.7403 · Avg distance 75.4 NM
Total Detections
7
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7403
Avg Distance NM
75.4
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Los Angeles
Coordinates: 33.729°N, 118.264°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
7 of 77 total detections (9.1%)
Avg Distance from Port
75.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇲🇽 Veracruz — Port Profile
3 detections · Avg score 0.8174 · Avg distance 270.6 NM
Total Detections
3
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.8174
Avg Distance NM
270.6
Possible spoofed coords
Detection Types at Veracruz
Coordinates: 19.197°N, 96.134°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇲🇽 MX
Risk Classification
HIGH — HIGH
Detection Share
3 of 77 total detections (3.9%)
Avg Distance from Port
270.6 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates
🇲🇽 Manzanillo — Port Profile
2 detections · Avg score 0.8498 · Avg distance 327.2 NM
Total Detections
2
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.8498
Avg Distance NM
327.2
Possible spoofed coords
Detection Types at Manzanillo
Coordinates: 19.054°N, 104.318°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇲🇽 MX
Risk Classification
HIGH — HIGH
Detection Share
2 of 77 total detections (2.6%)
Avg Distance from Port
327.2 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates
🇺🇸 Brownsville — Port Profile
2 detections · Avg score 0.8262 · Avg distance 146.9 NM
Total Detections
2
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.8262
Avg Distance NM
146.9
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Brownsville
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
2 of 77 total detections (2.6%)
Avg Distance from Port
146.9 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
HOT RAIL
MMSI
338226906
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
338 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
Long Beach
Detection Period
12 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 116 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use
Speed Capability
Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)