Intelligence Overview
FANCY · MMSI 338493781 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Oakland
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#194
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
110
Months Active
6/12
Unique Ports
2
Dark Events
10
AIS blackout
Position Jumps
2
GPS spoofing
Speed Anomalies
36
Max Speed
99.6 kn
Max Jump
155km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 10 Events
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where FANCY was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
GPS Spoofing — 2 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 155 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Velocity Fraud — 36 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 99.6 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 30 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 160.0° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2024 | 8 | CRITICAL | 0.9158 | Oakland | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| August 2024 | 6 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | San Francisco | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| September 2024 | 18 | MEDIUM | 0.7346 | San Francisco | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| October 2024 | 31 | HIGH | 0.8328 | Oakland | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL; POSITION_JUMP |
| November 2024 | 36 | HIGH | 0.8658 | Oakland | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL; POSITION_JUMP |
| December 2024 | 11 | HIGH | 0.8181 | San Francisco | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | CONFIRMED | 10 events detected | CRITICAL |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 2 jumps · max 154.7km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | CONFIRMED | 36 events · max 99.6 kn | CRITICAL |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 30 events · max COG std 160.0° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | POSSIBLE | 2 unique ports | MEDIUM |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Oakland and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
6 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
110 detections across 78 individual events (avg 18.3/month)
Active Techniques
⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG ◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 99.6 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 36 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
36 events
36 events
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 160.0°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 30 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
30 events
30 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 10 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
10 events
10 events
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 154.7km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 2 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
2 events
2 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.8528
Global Rank
#194
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 10 | ×3 | 30.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 2 | ×2 | 4.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 36 | ×1 | 36.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 30 | ×0.5 | 15.0 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 36 events · Max: 99.6 kn
Total Events
36
Max Reported SOG
99.6 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
| Date | Max SOG (kn) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 2 events · Max jump: 155 km
Total Events
2
Max Jump Distance
155 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 30 events · Max COG std: 160.0°
Total Events
30
Max COG Std Dev
160.0°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 10 AIS blackout events detected
Dark Vessel Events
10
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-10-02T08:21:03
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8821°N, 122.3931°W — San Francisco
AIS Gap Duration
8.2 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
29.9 knots SOG
Displacement
7.4 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5473 · LOW
Assessment
High-speed approach (29.9 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-10-03T09:34:02
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8681°N, 122.4634°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
6.5 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
2.1 knots SOG
Displacement
9.8 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5106 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #3 — 2024-10-27T07:23:35
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
38.2582°N, 122.1235°W — San Francisco
AIS Gap Duration
8.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
44.6 knots SOG
Displacement
28.1 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5654 · LOW
Assessment
High-speed approach (44.6 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #4 — 2024-11-11T10:25:40
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8725°N, 122.4623°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
7.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
102.3 knots SOG
Displacement
9.8 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5200 · LOW
Assessment
High-speed approach (102.3 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #5 — 2024-11-16T05:10:32
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8725°N, 122.4624°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
6.7 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
102.3 knots SOG
Displacement
9.8 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5135 · LOW
Assessment
High-speed approach (102.3 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #6 — 2024-11-20T15:04:44
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8527°N, 122.4727°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
7.3 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
33.4 knots SOG
Displacement
9.8 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5269 · LOW
Assessment
High-speed approach (33.4 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #7 — 2024-11-24T05:28:54
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8725°N, 122.4623°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
15.2 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
1.1 knots SOG
Displacement
9.8 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6839 · MEDIUM
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #8 — 2024-11-27T04:09:20
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.2142°N, 123.7920°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
17.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
27.1 knots SOG
Displacement
80.1 NM from port during gap
Score
0.7900 · MEDIUM
Assessment
High-speed approach (27.1 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #9 — 2024-11-29T05:38:12
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.9457°N, 122.3826°W — San Francisco
AIS Gap Duration
8.5 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
31.5 knots SOG
Displacement
10.0 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5547 · LOW
Assessment
High-speed approach (31.5 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
◐ DARK EVENT #10 — 2024-12-18T00:10:33
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8725°N, 122.4623°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
16.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
102.3 knots SOG
Displacement
9.8 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6994 · MEDIUM
Assessment
High-speed approach (102.3 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
Port History
2 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 🇺🇸 | 66 | 0.7901 | 12.8 | STANDARD |
| San Francisco | 🇺🇸 | 12 | 0.7970 | 17.6 | STANDARD |
🇺🇸 Oakland — Port Profile
66 detections · Avg score 0.7901 · Avg distance 12.8 NM
Total Detections
66
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.7901
Avg Distance NM
12.8
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Oakland
Coordinates: 37.804°N, 122.271°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
66 of 78 total detections (84.6%)
Avg Distance from Port
12.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 San Francisco — Port Profile
12 detections · Avg score 0.7970 · Avg distance 17.6 NM
Total Detections
12
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7970
Avg Distance NM
17.6
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at San Francisco
Coordinates: 37.775°N, 122.419°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
12 of 78 total detections (15.4%)
Avg Distance from Port
17.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
FANCY
MMSI
338493781
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
338 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
Oakland
Detection Period
6 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 110 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use
Speed Capability
Reported 99.6 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)