Intelligence Overview
CAPE SAN BLAS · MMSI 366215000 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: New Orleans
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#198
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
108
Months Active
12/12
Unique Ports
3
Dark Events
5
AIS blackout
Position Jumps
11
GPS spoofing
Max Jump
2,835km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 5 Events
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where CAPE SAN BLAS was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
GPS Spoofing — 11 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 2,835 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Evasion Navigation — 21 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 85.5° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2024 | 4 | MEDIUM | 0.6088 | New Orleans | ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| February 2024 | 8 | MEDIUM | 0.5684 | New Orleans | ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| March 2024 | 6 | MEDIUM | 0.6553 | New Orleans | ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| April 2024 | 4 | MEDIUM | 0.6605 | New Orleans | ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| May 2024 | 7 | CRITICAL | 0.9263 | New Orleans | ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP |
| June 2024 | 24 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | New York | POSITION_JUMP |
| July 2024 | 27 | HIGH | 0.8936 | Galveston | POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG |
| August 2024 | 5 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Galveston | POSITION_JUMP |
| September 2024 | 8 | HIGH | 0.7560 | Galveston | POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG |
| October 2024 | 11 | HIGH | 0.7840 | New York | POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG |
| November 2024 | 1 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | New Orleans | POSITION_JUMP |
| December 2024 | 3 | HIGH | 0.7840 | New Orleans | ZIGZAG |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | CONFIRMED | 5 events detected | CRITICAL |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 11 jumps · max 2835.3km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 21 events · max COG std 85.5° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | POSSIBLE | 3 unique ports | MEDIUM |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
New Orleans and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
108 detections across 37 individual events (avg 9.0/month)
Active Techniques
⟳ ZIGZAG ◐ DARK ⊕ POS JUMP
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 85.5°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 21 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
21 events
21 events
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 2835.3km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 11 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
11 events
11 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 5 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
5 events
5 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.7906
Global Rank
#198
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 5 | ×3 | 15.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 11 | ×2 | 22.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 0 | ×1 | 0.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 21 | ×0.5 | 10.5 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 11 events · Max jump: 2,835 km
Total Events
11
Max Jump Distance
2,835 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 21 events · Max COG std: 85.5°
Total Events
21
Max COG Std Dev
85.5°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 5 AIS blackout events detected
Dark Vessel Events
5
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-01-24T14:13:16
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
27.1278°N, 90.7903°W — New Orleans
AIS Gap Duration
9.2 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
4.5 knots SOG
Displacement
173.7 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5647 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-01-27T06:47:36
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
27.0898°N, 90.7182°W — New Orleans
AIS Gap Duration
10.5 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
3.5 knots SOG
Displacement
175.1 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5904 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #3 — 2024-02-07T02:09:23
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
27.0968°N, 90.7579°W — New Orleans
AIS Gap Duration
7.3 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
1.1 knots SOG
Displacement
175.2 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5271 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #4 — 2024-03-10T00:50:29
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
27.3505°N, 90.1997°W — New Orleans
AIS Gap Duration
13.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
10.4 knots SOG
Displacement
156.3 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6563 · MEDIUM
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #5 — 2024-04-29T03:52:26
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
27.4337°N, 90.2487°W — New Orleans
AIS Gap Duration
13.5 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
1.1 knots SOG
Displacement
151.4 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6526 · MEDIUM
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
Port History
3 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | 🇺🇸 | 30 | 0.6294 | 96.2 | STANDARD |
| New York | 🇺🇸 | 6 | 0.8916 | 33.3 | STANDARD |
| San Juan | 🇵🇷 | 1 | 0.9500 | 65.8 | STANDARD |
🇺🇸 New Orleans — Port Profile
30 detections · Avg score 0.6294 · Avg distance 96.2 NM
Total Detections
30
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.6294
Avg Distance NM
96.2
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at New Orleans
Coordinates: 29.944°N, 90.063°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
30 of 37 total detections (81.1%)
Avg Distance from Port
96.2 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 New York — Port Profile
6 detections · Avg score 0.8916 · Avg distance 33.3 NM
Total Detections
6
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.8916
Avg Distance NM
33.3
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at New York
Coordinates: 40.661°N, 74.044°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
6 of 37 total detections (16.2%)
Avg Distance from Port
33.3 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇵🇷 San Juan — Port Profile
1 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 65.8 NM
Total Detections
1
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.9500
Avg Distance NM
65.8
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at San Juan
Coordinates: 18.465°N, 66.115°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇵🇷 PR
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
1 of 37 total detections (2.7%)
Avg Distance from Port
65.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
CAPE SAN BLAS
MMSI
366215000
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
366 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
New Orleans
Detection Period
12 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
INCONSISTENT — year-round multi-port operations with 108 anomalous events are not consistent with pleasure craft use
Speed Capability
Within or near physical limits for vessel type
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)