Intelligence Overview
MYSTERY BAY · MMSI 303599000 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Seattle
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#259
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
83
Months Active
12/12
Unique Ports
5
Dark Events
1
AIS blackout
Position Jumps
23
GPS spoofing
Max Jump
4,451km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 1 Event
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where MYSTERY BAY was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
GPS Spoofing — 23 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 4,451 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Evasion Navigation — 11 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 119.6° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2024 | 10 | HIGH | 0.8811 | Seattle | POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG |
| February 2024 | 3 | HIGH | 0.8222 | Tampa | POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG |
| March 2024 | 2 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Seattle | POSITION_JUMP |
| April 2024 | 13 | CRITICAL | 0.9263 | Key West | POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG |
| May 2024 | 16 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Seattle | POSITION_JUMP |
| June 2024 | 12 | CRITICAL | 0.9263 | Port Everglades | POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG |
| July 2024 | 1 | MEDIUM | 0.6789 | Boston | ZIGZAG |
| August 2024 | 14 | CRITICAL | 0.9263 | Boston | ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL; POSITION_JUMP |
| September 2024 | 5 | HIGH | 0.8702 | Portland ME | ZIGZAG |
| October 2024 | 4 | MEDIUM | 0.6713 | Port Everglades | ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| November 2024 | 2 | MEDIUM | 0.6367 | Miami | ZIGZAG |
| December 2024 | 1 | MEDIUM | 0.6535 | Miami | ZIGZAG |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | CONFIRMED | 1 events detected | CRITICAL |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 23 jumps · max 4451.3km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 11 events · max COG std 119.6° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | CONFIRMED | 5 unique ports | HIGH |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Seattle and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
83 detections across 35 individual events (avg 6.9/month)
Active Techniques
◐ DARK ⟳ ZIGZAG ⊕ POS JUMP
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 4451.3km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 23 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
23 events
23 events
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 119.6°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 11 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
11 events
11 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 1 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events
1 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.8244
Global Rank
#259
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 1 | ×3 | 3.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 23 | ×2 | 46.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 0 | ×1 | 0.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 11 | ×0.5 | 5.5 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 23 events · Max jump: 4,451 km
Total Events
23
Max Jump Distance
4,451 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 11 events · Max COG std: 119.6°
Total Events
11
Max COG Std Dev
119.6°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 1 AIS blackout events detected
Dark Vessel Events
1
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-10-15T00:00:05
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
24.5137°N, 81.4889°W — Key West
AIS Gap Duration
8.6 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
13.9 knots SOG
Displacement
16.1 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6964 · HIGH
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
Port History
5 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 🇺🇸 | 19 | 0.9069 | 3.7 | STANDARD |
| Key West | 🇺🇸 | 6 | 0.8381 | 5.4 | STANDARD |
| Port Everglades | 🇺🇸 | 5 | 0.7806 | 26.2 | STANDARD |
| Miami | 🇺🇸 | 3 | 0.5997 | 4.5 | STANDARD |
| Tampa | 🇺🇸 | 2 | 0.9500 | 59.3 | STANDARD |
🇺🇸 Seattle — Port Profile
19 detections · Avg score 0.9069 · Avg distance 3.7 NM
Total Detections
19
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.9069
Avg Distance NM
3.7
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Seattle
Coordinates: 47.601°N, 122.334°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
19 of 35 total detections (54.3%)
Avg Distance from Port
3.7 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Key West — Port Profile
6 detections · Avg score 0.8381 · Avg distance 5.4 NM
Total Detections
6
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.8381
Avg Distance NM
5.4
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Key West
Coordinates: 24.559°N, 81.800°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
6 of 35 total detections (17.1%)
Avg Distance from Port
5.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Port Everglades — Port Profile
5 detections · Avg score 0.7806 · Avg distance 26.2 NM
Total Detections
5
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7806
Avg Distance NM
26.2
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Port Everglades
Coordinates: 26.083°N, 80.117°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
5 of 35 total detections (14.3%)
Avg Distance from Port
26.2 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Miami — Port Profile
3 detections · Avg score 0.5997 · Avg distance 4.5 NM
Total Detections
3
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.5997
Avg Distance NM
4.5
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Miami
Coordinates: 25.774°N, 80.190°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
3 of 35 total detections (8.6%)
Avg Distance from Port
4.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Tampa — Port Profile
2 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 59.3 NM
Total Detections
2
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.9500
Avg Distance NM
59.3
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Tampa
Coordinates: 27.946°N, 82.457°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
2 of 35 total detections (5.7%)
Avg Distance from Port
59.3 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
MYSTERY BAY
MMSI
303599000
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
303 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
Seattle
Detection Period
12 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
Requires investigation
Speed Capability
Within or near physical limits for vessel type
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)