#274 CGC PABLO VALENT // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

CGC PABLO VALENT · MMSI 338926448 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Colon

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: CGC PABLO VALENT ranks #274 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 78 anomalous detections across 8 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: DARK_VESSEL, ZIGZAG, SPEED_ANOMALY, POSITION_JUMP.

Global Rank

#274

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

78

Months Active

8/12

Unique Ports

5

Dark Events

1

AIS blackout

Position Jumps

12

GPS spoofing

Speed Anomalies

5

Max Speed

95.6 kn

Max Jump

3,336km

Monthly Detection Volume

10
21

11
1

4
7

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

POSITION_JUMP

12

ZIGZAG

11

SPEED_ANOMALY

5

DARK_VESSEL

1

Key Intelligence Findings

AIS Blackout Confirmed — 1 Event

Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where CGC PABLO VALENT was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.

GPS Spoofing — 12 Position Jumps

AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 3,336 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.

Velocity Fraud — 5 Speed Anomaly Events

AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 95.6 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.

Evasion Navigation — 11 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 159.9° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.

Port Detection Summary

🇺🇸

Tampa

20

avg 0.851

🇵🇦

Panama City

4

avg 0.950

🇺🇸

Pensacola

3

avg 0.771

🇵🇦

Colon

1

avg 0.950

🇺🇸

Key West

1

avg 0.527

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
April 2024	7	CRITICAL	0.9000	Tampa	ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
May 2024	3	HIGH	0.7901	Tampa	ZIGZAG
June 2024	11	CRITICAL	0.9263	Miami	ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP
July 2024	4	HIGH	0.7921	Miami	ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP
August 2024	16	CRITICAL	0.9500	Colon	POSITION_JUMP
September 2024	15	CRITICAL	0.9263	Colon	POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
October 2024	21	CRITICAL	0.9500	Panama City	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; DARK_VESSEL; ZIGZAG
November 2024	1	MEDIUM	0.5275	Key West	ZIGZAG

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	CONFIRMED	1 events detected	CRITICAL
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	CONFIRMED	12 jumps · max 3335.8km	CRITICAL
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	CONFIRMED	5 events · max 95.6 kn	CRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	11 events · max COG std 159.9°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	CONFIRMED	5 unique ports	HIGH
High-Risk Port Proximity: Colon	CONFIRMED	1 detections	HIGH

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Colon and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

8 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

78 detections across 29 individual events (avg 9.8/month)

Active Techniques

◐ DARK ⟳ ZIGZAG ⚡ SPEED ⊕ POS JUMP

Threat Category

High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T002

AIS-MAN-003

GPS Spoofing

GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 3335.8km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 12 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
12 events

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 159.9°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 11 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
11 events

MAR-T001

RTE-ANO-001

Velocity Fraud

AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 95.6 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 5 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
5 events

MAR-T004

AIS-MAN-001

AIS Blackout

Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 1 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.8453

Global Rank

#274

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	1	×3	3.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	12	×2	24.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	5	×1	5.0
ZIGZAG	11	×0.5	5.5
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections

Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 5 events · Max: 95.6 kn

AIS SOG FRAUD

Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. CGC PABLO VALENT reports speeds up to 95.6 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.

Total Events

5

Max Reported SOG

95.6 kn

Indicator ID

RTE-ANO-001

Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)

Date	Max SOG (kn)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

⊕ Position Jump Detections

Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 12 events · Max jump: 3,336 km

GPS SPOOFING

Position jumps confirm GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. CGC PABLO VALENT has 12 confirmed position jumps with maximum displacement of 3,336 km.

Total Events

12

Max Jump Distance

3,336 km

Indicator ID

AIS-MAN-003

Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)

Date	Jump (km)	Implied Speed (kn)	Score	Severity	Spoofed-To Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 11 events · Max COG std: 159.9°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. CGC PABLO VALENT records COG deviations up to 159.9° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

11

Max COG Std Dev

159.9°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

◐ Dark Vessel Events

Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 1 AIS blackout events detected

AIS BLACKOUT

⚠ HIGH SIGNIFICANCE: Dark vessel events represent deliberate AIS transponder deactivation — a primary indicator of intentional surveillance evasion, covert cargo transfer, or sanctions circumvention.

Dark Vessel Events

1

Indicator

AIS-MAN-001

Risk Level

CRITICAL

◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-10-07T01:21:21

AIS BLACKOUT

Location

27.9744°N, 83.8093°W — Tampa

AIS Gap Duration

11.0 hours

Pre-Blackout Speed

9.3 knots SOG

Displacement

71.7 NM from port during gap

Score

0.7020 · HIGH

Assessment

AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.

Port History

5 distinct port areas · US primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Tampa	🇺🇸	20	0.8507	23.6	STANDARD
Panama City	🇵🇦	4	0.9500	397.2	STANDARD
Pensacola	🇺🇸	3	0.7712	7.3	STANDARD
Colon	🇵🇦	1	0.9500	188.2	HIGH
Key West	🇺🇸	1	0.5275	1.5	STANDARD

🇺🇸 Tampa — Port Profile

20 detections · Avg score 0.8507 · Avg distance 23.6 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

20

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.8507

Avg Distance NM

23.6

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Tampa

ZIGZAG

8

POSITION_JUMP

6

SPEED_ANOMALY

5

DARK_VESSEL

1

Coordinates: 27.946°N, 82.457°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

20 of 29 total detections (69.0%)

Avg Distance from Port

23.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇵🇦 Panama City — Port Profile

4 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 397.2 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

4

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9500

Avg Distance NM

397.2

Possible spoofed coords

Detection Types at Panama City

POSITION_JUMP

4

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇵🇦 PA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

4 of 29 total detections (13.8%)

Avg Distance from Port

397.2 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates

🇺🇸 Pensacola — Port Profile

3 detections · Avg score 0.7712 · Avg distance 7.3 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

3

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7712

Avg Distance NM

7.3

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Pensacola

ZIGZAG

2

POSITION_JUMP

1

Coordinates: 30.421°N, 87.216°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

3 of 29 total detections (10.3%)

Avg Distance from Port

7.3 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇵🇦 Colon — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 188.2 NM

HIGH RISK

⚠ HIGH RISK PORT: Colon is a known high-risk transshipment zone associated with illicit maritime activity. Detections here require elevated scrutiny.

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.9500

Avg Distance NM

188.2

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Colon

POSITION_JUMP

1

Coordinates: 9.366°N, 79.900°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇵🇦 PA

Risk Classification

HIGH — HIGH

Detection Share

1 of 29 total detections (3.4%)

Avg Distance from Port

188.2 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Key West — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.5275 · Avg distance 1.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.5275

Avg Distance NM

1.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Key West

ZIGZAG

1

Coordinates: 24.559°N, 81.800°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 29 total detections (3.4%)

Avg Distance from Port

1.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

CGC PABLO VALENT

MMSI

338926448

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇺🇸 US

MID Code

338 → 🇺🇸 US

Primary Port

Colon

Detection Period

8 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

Requires investigation

Speed Capability

Reported 95.6 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)