#277
BAYWATCH 17
● CRITICAL MMSI: 338118971
Detections
76
Score
0.95
Months
12
// QUANTUS MARITIME INTELLIGENCE // 2024 ANNUAL ASSESSMENT // RANK #277 OF 69,461 VESSELS //
Intelligence Overview
BAYWATCH 17 · MMSI 338118971 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Los Angeles
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: BAYWATCH 17 ranks #277 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 76 anomalous detections across 12 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: DARK_VESSEL, SPEED_ANOMALY, ZIGZAG.
Global Rank
#277
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
76
Months Active
12/12
Unique Ports
2
Dark Events
2
AIS blackout
Speed Anomalies
1
Max Speed
102.2 kn
Monthly Detection Volume
1
3
10
9
11
5
12
8
2
2
3
5
4
2
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
ZIGZAG
31
DARK_VESSEL
2
SPEED_ANOMALY
1
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 2 Events
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where BAYWATCH 17 was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
Velocity Fraud — 1 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 31 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 181.9° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.
Port Detection Summary
🇺🇸
Los Angeles
33
avg 0.874
🇺🇸
Long Beach
1
avg 0.785
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
MonthDetectionsSeverityScoreNearest PortAlert Types
January 2024 3 CRITICAL 0.9000 Los Angeles ZIGZAG
February 2024 2 CRITICAL 0.9000 Los Angeles ZIGZAG
March 2024 5 CRITICAL 0.9000 Los Angeles ZIGZAG
April 2024 2 CRITICAL 0.9000 Los Angeles ZIGZAG
May 2024 6 CRITICAL 0.9000 Los Angeles ZIGZAG
June 2024 9 CRITICAL 0.9500 Los Angeles ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY
July 2024 9 CRITICAL 0.9000 Los Angeles ZIGZAG
August 2024 12 MEDIUM 0.7451 Los Angeles ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
September 2024 6 CRITICAL 0.9000 Los Angeles ZIGZAG
October 2024 9 MEDIUM 0.7131 Los Angeles ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
November 2024 5 CRITICAL 0.9500 Los Angeles SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
December 2024 8 HIGH 0.7611 Long Beach ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
IndicatorStatusEvidenceConfidence
AIS Blackout / Dark VesselCONFIRMED2 events detectedCRITICAL
GPS Spoofing / Position JumpNOT DETECTEDLOW
Velocity Fraud / Speed AnomalyCONFIRMED1 events · max 102.2 knCRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / ZigzagCONFIRMED31 events · max COG std 181.9°HIGH
Ship-to-Ship RendezvousNOT DETECTEDLOW
Multi-Port OperationsPOSSIBLE2 unique portsMEDIUM
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Los Angeles and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
76 detections across 34 individual events (avg 6.3/month)
Active Techniques
◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED ⟳ ZIGZAG
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 181.9°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 31 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
31 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 2 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
2 events
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 1 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.8683
Global Rank
#277
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)
IndicatorCountWeightContribution
DARK_VESSEL2×36.0
RENDEZVOUS0×40.0
POSITION_JUMP0×20.0
SPEED_ANOMALY1×11.0
ZIGZAG31×0.515.5
MaxSingleScore0.9500×5047.5
COMPOSITE TOTALNormalized [0,1]0.9500 CRITICAL
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 1 events · Max: 102.2 kn
AIS SOG FRAUD
Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. BAYWATCH 17 reports speeds up to 102.2 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.
Total Events
1
Max Reported SOG
102.2 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
DateMax SOG (kn)ScoreSeverityPortCoordinates
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 31 events · Max COG std: 181.9°
EVASION PATTERN
Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. BAYWATCH 17 records COG deviations up to 181.9° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.
Total Events
31
Max COG Std Dev
181.9°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
DateCOG Std Dev (°)ScoreSeverityPortCoordinates
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 2 AIS blackout events detected
AIS BLACKOUT
⚠ HIGH SIGNIFICANCE: Dark vessel events represent deliberate AIS transponder deactivation — a primary indicator of intentional surveillance evasion, covert cargo transfer, or sanctions circumvention.
Dark Vessel Events
2
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-10-17T06:04:55
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
33.7676°N, 118.4323°W — Los Angeles
AIS Gap Duration
8.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
19.8 knots SOG
Displacement
8.7 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5449 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-12-29T03:57:11
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
33.8470°N, 118.3985°W — Los Angeles
AIS Gap Duration
12.8 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
0.9 knots SOG
Displacement
9.4 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6361 · MEDIUM
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
Port History
2 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
PortCountryDetectionsAvg ScoreAvg Dist NMRisk
Los Angeles🇺🇸330.873610.1STANDARD
Long Beach🇺🇸10.78511.1STANDARD
🇺🇸 Los Angeles — Port Profile
33 detections · Avg score 0.8736 · Avg distance 10.1 NM
LOW RISK
Total Detections
33
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.8736
Avg Distance NM
10.1
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Los Angeles
ZIGZAG
30
DARK_VESSEL
2
SPEED_ANOMALY
1
Coordinates: 33.729°N, 118.264°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
33 of 34 total detections (97.1%)
Avg Distance from Port
10.1 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Long Beach — Port Profile
1 detections · Avg score 0.7851 · Avg distance 1.1 NM
LOW RISK
Total Detections
1
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7851
Avg Distance NM
1.1
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Long Beach
ZIGZAG
1
Coordinates: 33.754°N, 118.216°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
1 of 34 total detections (2.9%)
Avg Distance from Port
1.1 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
BAYWATCH 17
MMSI
338118971
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
338 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
Los Angeles
Detection Period
12 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
Requires investigation
Speed Capability
Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)