Intelligence Overview
NEXTCHAPTER · MMSI 338402907 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Oakland
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#326
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
63
Months Active
10/12
Unique Ports
2
Dark Events
31
AIS blackout
Position Jumps
1
GPS spoofing
Speed Anomalies
6
Max Speed
46.6 kn
Max Jump
3,774km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 31 Events
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where NEXTCHAPTER was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
GPS Spoofing — 1 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 3,774 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Velocity Fraud — 6 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 46.6 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 2024 | 2 | MEDIUM | 0.5927 | Oakland | SPEED_ANOMALY |
| March 2024 | 15 | MEDIUM | 0.6659 | Oakland | DARK_VESSEL; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| April 2024 | 12 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Oakland | DARK_VESSEL; POSITION_JUMP |
| May 2024 | 9 | MEDIUM | 0.6550 | Oakland | DARK_VESSEL |
| June 2024 | 9 | MEDIUM | 0.6439 | Oakland | DARK_VESSEL |
| July 2024 | 4 | MEDIUM | 0.5841 | Oakland | DARK_VESSEL; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| August 2024 | 3 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | Oakland | ZIGZAG |
| October 2024 | 1 | MEDIUM | 0.5238 | Oakland | DARK_VESSEL |
| November 2024 | 7 | MEDIUM | 0.6512 | Oakland | DARK_VESSEL; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| December 2024 | 1 | MEDIUM | 0.5539 | Oakland | DARK_VESSEL |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | CONFIRMED | 31 events detected | CRITICAL |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 1 jumps · max 3774.2km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | CONFIRMED | 6 events · max 46.6 kn | CRITICAL |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | POSSIBLE | 2 unique ports | MEDIUM |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Oakland and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
10 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
63 detections across 38 individual events (avg 6.3/month)
Active Techniques
◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED ⊕ POS JUMP
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 31 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
31 events
31 events
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 46.6 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 6 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
6 events
6 events
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 3774.2km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 1 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events
1 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.6721
Global Rank
#326
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 31 | ×3 | 93.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 1 | ×2 | 2.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 6 | ×1 | 6.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 0 | ×0.5 | 0.0 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 6 events · Max: 46.6 kn
Total Events
6
Max Reported SOG
46.6 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
| Date | Max SOG (kn) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 1 events · Max jump: 3,774 km
Total Events
1
Max Jump Distance
3,774 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 31 AIS blackout events detected
Dark Vessel Events
31
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-03-03T03:28:41
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8650°N, 122.4917°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
15.3 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
2.9 knots SOG
Displacement
10.9 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6853 · MEDIUM
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-03-04T04:35:21
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8640°N, 122.4880°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
15.6 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
0.6 knots SOG
Displacement
10.7 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6912 · MEDIUM
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #3 — 2024-03-07T10:41:12
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8633°N, 122.4877°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
7.4 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
1.0 knots SOG
Displacement
10.7 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5271 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #4 — 2024-03-13T07:37:17
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8683°N, 122.4616°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
10.6 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
1.8 knots SOG
Displacement
9.7 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5922 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #5 — 2024-03-16T08:19:34
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8640°N, 122.4878°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
8.1 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
0.9 knots SOG
Displacement
10.7 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5420 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #6 — 2024-03-17T06:38:33
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8632°N, 122.4880°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
11.2 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
4.4 knots SOG
Displacement
10.7 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6049 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #7 — 2024-03-18T07:08:16
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8626°N, 122.4882°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
11.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
1.4 knots SOG
Displacement
10.7 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6006 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #8 — 2024-03-19T07:07:56
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8636°N, 122.4911°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
11.2 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
3.9 knots SOG
Displacement
10.9 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6037 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #9 — 2024-03-22T07:28:59
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8657°N, 122.4879°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
9.5 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
6.8 knots SOG
Displacement
10.8 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5701 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #10 — 2024-03-23T05:32:31
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
37.8753°N, 122.4882°W — Oakland
AIS Gap Duration
11.5 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
4.3 knots SOG
Displacement
11.0 NM from port during gap
Score
0.6119 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
Port History
2 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 🇺🇸 | 36 | 0.5900 | 10.8 | STANDARD |
| Sept-Iles | 🇨🇦 | 2 | 0.9500 | 501.8 | STANDARD |
🇺🇸 Oakland — Port Profile
36 detections · Avg score 0.5900 · Avg distance 10.8 NM
Total Detections
36
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.5900
Avg Distance NM
10.8
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Oakland
Coordinates: 37.804°N, 122.271°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
36 of 38 total detections (94.7%)
Avg Distance from Port
10.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇨🇦 Sept-Iles — Port Profile
2 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 501.8 NM
Total Detections
2
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.9500
Avg Distance NM
501.8
Possible spoofed coords
Detection Types at Sept-Iles
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇨🇦 CA
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
2 of 38 total detections (5.3%)
Avg Distance from Port
501.8 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
NEXTCHAPTER
MMSI
338402907
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
338 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
Oakland
Detection Period
10 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
Requires investigation
Speed Capability
Reported 46.6 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)