Intelligence Overview
BELLA · MMSI 316024204 · 🇨🇦 CA · Primary Port: Victoria
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#339
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
61
Months Active
6/12
Unique Ports
5
Dark Events
3
AIS blackout
Position Jumps
12
GPS spoofing
Speed Anomalies
30
Max Speed
102.2 kn
Max Jump
853km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 3 Events
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where BELLA was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
GPS Spoofing — 12 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 853 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Velocity Fraud — 30 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 9 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 145.0° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2024 | 8 | MEDIUM | 0.6899 | Victoria | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL |
| February 2024 | 2 | MEDIUM | 0.7268 | Victoria | SPEED_ANOMALY |
| March 2024 | 15 | CRITICAL | 0.9228 | Victoria | SPEED_ANOMALY; DARK_VESSEL; ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP |
| April 2024 | 29 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Seattle | POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| May 2024 | 6 | HIGH | 0.7826 | Seattle | POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| August 2024 | 1 | MEDIUM | 0.7259 | Vancouver | SPEED_ANOMALY |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | CONFIRMED | 3 events detected | CRITICAL |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 12 jumps · max 853.2km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | CONFIRMED | 30 events · max 102.2 kn | CRITICAL |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 9 events · max COG std 145.0° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | CONFIRMED | 5 unique ports | HIGH |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Victoria and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
6 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
61 detections across 54 individual events (avg 10.2/month)
Active Techniques
◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED ⟳ ZIGZAG ⊕ POS JUMP
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 30 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
30 events
30 events
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 853.2km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 12 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
12 events
12 events
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 145.0°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 9 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
9 events
9 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 3 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
3 events
3 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.7997
Global Rank
#339
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 3 | ×3 | 9.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 12 | ×2 | 24.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 30 | ×1 | 30.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 9 | ×0.5 | 4.5 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 30 events · Max: 102.2 kn
Total Events
30
Max Reported SOG
102.2 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
| Date | Max SOG (kn) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 12 events · Max jump: 853 km
Total Events
12
Max Jump Distance
853 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 9 events · Max COG std: 145.0°
Total Events
9
Max COG Std Dev
145.0°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 3 AIS blackout events detected
Dark Vessel Events
3
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-01-28T05:57:34
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
48.6676°N, 123.4054°W — Victoria
AIS Gap Duration
6.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
1.0 knots SOG
Displacement
14.5 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5009 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-03-06T02:16:45
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
48.6676°N, 123.4055°W — Victoria
AIS Gap Duration
6.5 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
0.7 knots SOG
Displacement
14.4 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5100 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
◐ DARK EVENT #3 — 2024-03-07T13:26:26
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
48.6676°N, 123.4058°W — Victoria
AIS Gap Duration
6.2 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
1.0 knots SOG
Displacement
14.5 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5045 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
Port History
5 distinct port areas · CA primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria | 🇨🇦 | 24 | 0.6831 | 18.1 | STANDARD |
| Vancouver | 🇨🇦 | 18 | 0.7466 | 41.9 | STANDARD |
| Tacoma | 🇺🇸 | 6 | 0.6859 | 45.2 | STANDARD |
| Seattle | 🇺🇸 | 4 | 0.7658 | 104.5 | STANDARD |
| Portland OR | 🇺🇸 | 2 | 0.9467 | 237.5 | STANDARD |
🇨🇦 Victoria — Port Profile
24 detections · Avg score 0.6831 · Avg distance 18.1 NM
Total Detections
24
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.6831
Avg Distance NM
18.1
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Victoria
Coordinates: 48.424°N, 123.370°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇨🇦 CA
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
24 of 54 total detections (44.4%)
Avg Distance from Port
18.1 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇨🇦 Vancouver — Port Profile
18 detections · Avg score 0.7466 · Avg distance 41.9 NM
Total Detections
18
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7466
Avg Distance NM
41.9
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Vancouver
Coordinates: 49.283°N, 123.120°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇨🇦 CA
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
18 of 54 total detections (33.3%)
Avg Distance from Port
41.9 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Tacoma — Port Profile
6 detections · Avg score 0.6859 · Avg distance 45.2 NM
Total Detections
6
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.6859
Avg Distance NM
45.2
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Tacoma
Coordinates: 47.254°N, 122.411°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
6 of 54 total detections (11.1%)
Avg Distance from Port
45.2 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Seattle — Port Profile
4 detections · Avg score 0.7658 · Avg distance 104.5 NM
Total Detections
4
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.7658
Avg Distance NM
104.5
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Seattle
Coordinates: 47.601°N, 122.334°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
4 of 54 total detections (7.4%)
Avg Distance from Port
104.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Portland OR — Port Profile
2 detections · Avg score 0.9467 · Avg distance 237.5 NM
Total Detections
2
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.9467
Avg Distance NM
237.5
Possible spoofed coords
Detection Types at Portland OR
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
2 of 54 total detections (3.7%)
Avg Distance from Port
237.5 NM — anomalously high, suggests spoofed coordinates
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
BELLA
MMSI
316024204
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇨🇦 CA
MID Code
316 → 🇨🇦 CA
Primary Port
Victoria
Detection Period
6 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
Requires investigation
Speed Capability
Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)