Intelligence Overview
MORGAN LE FAY · MMSI 367481450 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Portland OR
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#363
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
54
Months Active
6/12
Unique Ports
4
Dark Events
2
AIS blackout
Position Jumps
4
GPS spoofing
Speed Anomalies
24
Max Speed
101.4 kn
Max Jump
575km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 2 Events
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where MORGAN LE FAY was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
GPS Spoofing — 4 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 575 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Velocity Fraud — 24 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 101.4 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 8 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 114.7° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2024 | 11 | HIGH | 0.8625 | Oakland | POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; DARK_VESSEL |
| August 2024 | 4 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Portland OR | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| September 2024 | 1 | MEDIUM | 0.6389 | Portland OR | ZIGZAG |
| October 2024 | 4 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Portland OR | SPEED_ANOMALY |
| November 2024 | 13 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Portland OR | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| December 2024 | 21 | CRITICAL | 0.9435 | Portland OR | DARK_VESSEL; POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | CONFIRMED | 2 events detected | CRITICAL |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 4 jumps · max 575.2km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | CONFIRMED | 24 events · max 101.4 kn | CRITICAL |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 8 events · max COG std 114.7° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | CONFIRMED | 4 unique ports | HIGH |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Portland OR and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
6 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
54 detections across 38 individual events (avg 9.0/month)
Active Techniques
◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED ⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 101.4 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 24 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
24 events
24 events
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 114.7°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 8 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
8 events
8 events
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 575.2km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 4 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
4 events
4 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 2 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
2 events
2 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.8825
Global Rank
#363
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 2 | ×3 | 6.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 4 | ×2 | 8.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 24 | ×1 | 24.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 8 | ×0.5 | 4.0 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 24 events · Max: 101.4 kn
Total Events
24
Max Reported SOG
101.4 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
| Date | Max SOG (kn) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 4 events · Max jump: 575 km
Total Events
4
Max Jump Distance
575 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 8 events · Max COG std: 114.7°
Total Events
8
Max COG Std Dev
114.7°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 2 AIS blackout events detected
Dark Vessel Events
2
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-12-16T04:22:22
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
45.6686°N, 122.8298°W — Portland OR
AIS Gap Duration
6.4 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
19.5 knots SOG
Displacement
11.2 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5099 · LOW
Assessment
AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.
◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-12-18T07:59:30
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
50.5549°N, 120.7774°W — Vancouver
AIS Gap Duration
7.4 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
34.7 knots SOG
Displacement
118.5 NM from port during gap
Score
0.8817 · HIGH
Assessment
High-speed approach (34.7 kn) before AIS deactivation — evasion pattern detected.
Port History
4 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland OR | 🇺🇸 | 30 | 0.8121 | 15.4 | STANDARD |
| Seattle | 🇺🇸 | 4 | 0.8580 | 178.4 | STANDARD |
| Vancouver | 🇨🇦 | 3 | 0.8813 | 106.7 | STANDARD |
| Victoria | 🇨🇦 | 1 | 0.9500 | 59.6 | STANDARD |
🇺🇸 Portland OR — Port Profile
30 detections · Avg score 0.8121 · Avg distance 15.4 NM
Total Detections
30
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.8121
Avg Distance NM
15.4
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Portland OR
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
30 of 38 total detections (78.9%)
Avg Distance from Port
15.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Seattle — Port Profile
4 detections · Avg score 0.8580 · Avg distance 178.4 NM
Total Detections
4
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.8580
Avg Distance NM
178.4
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Seattle
Coordinates: 47.601°N, 122.334°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
4 of 38 total detections (10.5%)
Avg Distance from Port
178.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇨🇦 Vancouver — Port Profile
3 detections · Avg score 0.8813 · Avg distance 106.7 NM
Total Detections
3
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.8813
Avg Distance NM
106.7
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Vancouver
Coordinates: 49.283°N, 123.120°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇨🇦 CA
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
3 of 38 total detections (7.9%)
Avg Distance from Port
106.7 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇨🇦 Victoria — Port Profile
1 detections · Avg score 0.9500 · Avg distance 59.6 NM
Total Detections
1
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.9500
Avg Distance NM
59.6
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Victoria
Coordinates: 48.424°N, 123.370°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇨🇦 CA
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
1 of 38 total detections (2.6%)
Avg Distance from Port
59.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
MORGAN LE FAY
MMSI
367481450
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
367 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
Portland OR
Detection Period
6 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
Requires investigation
Speed Capability
Reported 101.4 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)