Intelligence Overview
PAULA M SPERRY · MMSI 368144290 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Oakland
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#384
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
47
Months Active
12/12
Unique Ports
2
Speed Anomalies
1
Max Speed
100.7 kn
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
Velocity Fraud — 1 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 100.7 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 27 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 147.6° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or anchor position AIS noise.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2024 | 6 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | Oakland | ZIGZAG |
| February 2024 | 2 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | Oakland | ZIGZAG |
| March 2024 | 3 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | San Francisco | ZIGZAG |
| April 2024 | 4 | MEDIUM | 0.7402 | Oakland | ZIGZAG |
| May 2024 | 4 | HIGH | 0.7751 | Oakland | ZIGZAG |
| June 2024 | 2 | HIGH | 0.8516 | Oakland | ZIGZAG |
| July 2024 | 6 | HIGH | 0.7863 | San Francisco | POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG |
| August 2024 | 3 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | Oakland | ZIGZAG |
| September 2024 | 4 | HIGH | 0.8313 | San Francisco | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| October 2024 | 4 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | Oakland | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| November 2024 | 5 | MEDIUM | 0.7079 | Oakland | ZIGZAG |
| December 2024 | 4 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | San Francisco | ZIGZAG |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | CONFIRMED | 1 events · max 100.7 kn | CRITICAL |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 27 events · max COG std 147.6° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | POSSIBLE | 2 unique ports | MEDIUM |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Oakland and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
12 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
47 detections across 28 individual events (avg 3.9/month)
Active Techniques
⚡ SPEED ⟳ ZIGZAG
Threat Category
AIS Anomaly — Single or dual technique pattern
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 147.6°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 27 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
27 events
27 events
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 100.7 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 1 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events
1 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.8452
Global Rank
#384
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 0 | ×3 | 0.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 0 | ×2 | 0.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 1 | ×1 | 1.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 27 | ×0.5 | 13.5 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 1 events · Max: 100.7 kn
Total Events
1
Max Reported SOG
100.7 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
| Date | Max SOG (kn) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 27 events · Max COG std: 147.6°
Total Events
27
Max COG Std Dev
147.6°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
Port History
2 distinct port areas · US primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 🇺🇸 | 18 | 0.7146 | 3.7 | STANDARD |
| San Francisco | 🇺🇸 | 10 | 0.6965 | 9.2 | STANDARD |
🇺🇸 Oakland — Port Profile
18 detections · Avg score 0.7146 · Avg distance 3.7 NM
Total Detections
18
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.7146
Avg Distance NM
3.7
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Oakland
Coordinates: 37.804°N, 122.271°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
18 of 28 total detections (64.3%)
Avg Distance from Port
3.7 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 San Francisco — Port Profile
10 detections · Avg score 0.6965 · Avg distance 9.2 NM
Total Detections
10
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.6965
Avg Distance NM
9.2
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at San Francisco
Coordinates: 37.775°N, 122.419°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
10 of 28 total detections (35.7%)
Avg Distance from Port
9.2 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
PAULA M SPERRY
MMSI
368144290
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🇺🇸 US
MID Code
368 → 🇺🇸 US
Primary Port
Oakland
Detection Period
12 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
Requires investigation
Speed Capability
Reported 100.7 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)