#404
X;\P;I0;
● CRITICAL MMSI: 848507543
Detections
45
Score
0.95
Months
7
// QUANTUS MARITIME INTELLIGENCE // 2024 ANNUAL ASSESSMENT // RANK #404 OF 69,461 VESSELS //
Intelligence Overview
X;\P;I0; · MMSI 848507543 · 🏴 CA · Primary Port: Victoria
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: X;\P;I0; ranks #404 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 45 anomalous detections across 7 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: ZIGZAG.
Global Rank
#404
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
45
Months Active
7/12
Unique Ports
3
Monthly Detection Volume
1
2
11
1
2
1
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
ZIGZAG
4
Key Intelligence Findings
Evasion Navigation — 4 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 96.2° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.
Port Detection Summary
🇨🇦
Vancouver
2
avg 0.630
🇨🇦
Victoria
1
avg 0.577
🇺🇸
Seattle
1
avg 0.870
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
MonthDetectionsSeverityScoreNearest PortAlert Types
January 2024 2 MEDIUM 0.6591 Vancouver ZIGZAG
February 2024 1 MEDIUM 0.5770 Victoria ZIGZAG
June 2024 3 CRITICAL 0.9500 Victoria POSITION_JUMP
July 2024 10 CRITICAL 0.9263 Victoria POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
August 2024 19 CRITICAL 0.9263 Portland OR POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
September 2024 9 CRITICAL 0.9263 Toronto POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
November 2024 1 HIGH 0.8699 Seattle ZIGZAG
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
IndicatorStatusEvidenceConfidence
AIS Blackout / Dark VesselNOT DETECTEDLOW
GPS Spoofing / Position JumpNOT DETECTEDLOW
Velocity Fraud / Speed AnomalyNOT DETECTEDLOW
Evasion Navigation / ZigzagCONFIRMED4 events · max COG std 96.2°HIGH
Ship-to-Ship RendezvousNOT DETECTEDLOW
Multi-Port OperationsPOSSIBLE3 unique portsMEDIUM
Operational Profile
Primary AO
Victoria and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
7 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
45 detections across 4 individual events (avg 6.4/month)
Active Techniques
⟳ ZIGZAG
Threat Category
AIS Anomaly — Single or dual technique pattern
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 96.2°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 4 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
4 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.8336
Global Rank
#404
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)
IndicatorCountWeightContribution
DARK_VESSEL0×30.0
RENDEZVOUS0×40.0
POSITION_JUMP0×20.0
SPEED_ANOMALY0×10.0
ZIGZAG4×0.52.0
MaxSingleScore0.9500×5047.5
COMPOSITE TOTALNormalized [0,1]0.9500 CRITICAL
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 4 events · Max COG std: 96.2°
EVASION PATTERN
Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. X;\P;I0; records COG deviations up to 96.2° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.
Total Events
4
Max COG Std Dev
96.2°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
DateCOG Std Dev (°)ScoreSeverityPortCoordinates
Port History
3 distinct port areas · CA primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
PortCountryDetectionsAvg ScoreAvg Dist NMRisk
Vancouver🇨🇦20.629930.6STANDARD
Victoria🇨🇦10.577014.6STANDARD
Seattle🇺🇸10.86996.7STANDARD
🇨🇦 Vancouver — Port Profile
2 detections · Avg score 0.6299 · Avg distance 30.6 NM
LOW RISK
Total Detections
2
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.6299
Avg Distance NM
30.6
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Vancouver
ZIGZAG
2
Coordinates: 49.283°N, 123.120°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇨🇦 CA
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
2 of 4 total detections (50.0%)
Avg Distance from Port
30.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇨🇦 Victoria — Port Profile
1 detections · Avg score 0.5770 · Avg distance 14.6 NM
LOW RISK
Total Detections
1
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.5770
Avg Distance NM
14.6
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Victoria
ZIGZAG
1
Coordinates: 48.424°N, 123.370°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇨🇦 CA
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
1 of 4 total detections (25.0%)
Avg Distance from Port
14.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
🇺🇸 Seattle — Port Profile
1 detections · Avg score 0.8699 · Avg distance 6.7 NM
LOW RISK
Total Detections
1
Secondary port
Avg Alert Score
0.8699
Avg Distance NM
6.7
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at Seattle
ZIGZAG
1
Coordinates: 47.601°N, 122.334°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇺🇸 US
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
1 of 4 total detections (25.0%)
Avg Distance from Port
6.7 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
X;\P;I0;
MMSI
848507543
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🏴 CA
MID Code
848 → 🏴 CA
Primary Port
Victoria
Detection Period
7 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
Requires investigation
Speed Capability
Within or near physical limits for vessel type
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)