#438 MISTY K II // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

MISTY K II · MMSI 338219251 · 🇺🇸 US · Primary Port: Vancouver

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: MISTY K II ranks #438 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 38 anomalous detections across 7 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: ZIGZAG, POSITION_JUMP.

Global Rank

#438

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

38

Months Active

7/12

Unique Ports

7

Position Jumps

18

GPS spoofing

Max Jump

4,568km

Monthly Detection Volume

11
17

12
10

4
1

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

POSITION_JUMP

18

ZIGZAG

10

Key Intelligence Findings

GPS Spoofing — 18 Position Jumps

AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 4,568 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.

Evasion Navigation — 10 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 124.8° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.

Port Detection Summary

🇨🇦

Vancouver

14

avg 0.917

🇺🇸

Miami

5

avg 0.887

🇺🇸

New York

3

avg 0.820

🇺🇸

Wilmington NC

3

avg 0.820

🇺🇸

Jacksonville

1

avg 0.828

🇺🇸

Port Canaveral

1

avg 0.846

🇺🇸

Port Everglades

1

avg 0.742

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
April 2024	1	MEDIUM	0.6859	Miami	ZIGZAG
May 2024	1	MEDIUM	0.5468	Vancouver	ZIGZAG
June 2024	1	CRITICAL	0.9500	Vancouver	POSITION_JUMP
August 2024	6	CRITICAL	0.9000	Vancouver	ZIGZAG
September 2024	2	CRITICAL	0.9500	New York	POSITION_JUMP
November 2024	17	CRITICAL	0.9263	New York	POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG
December 2024	10	CRITICAL	0.9263	Miami	POSITION_JUMP; ZIGZAG

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	CONFIRMED	18 jumps · max 4568.0km	CRITICAL
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	10 events · max COG std 124.8°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	CONFIRMED	7 unique ports	HIGH

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Vancouver and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

7 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

38 detections across 28 individual events (avg 5.4/month)

Active Techniques

⟳ ZIGZAG ⊕ POS JUMP

Threat Category

AIS Anomaly — Single or dual technique pattern

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T002

AIS-MAN-003

GPS Spoofing

GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 4568.0km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 18 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
18 events

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 124.8°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 10 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
10 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.8408

Global Rank

#438

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	0	×3	0.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	18	×2	36.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	0	×1	0.0
ZIGZAG	10	×0.5	5.0
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⊕ Position Jump Detections

Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 18 events · Max jump: 4,568 km

GPS SPOOFING

Position jumps confirm GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. MISTY K II has 18 confirmed position jumps with maximum displacement of 4,568 km.

Total Events

18

Max Jump Distance

4,568 km

Indicator ID

AIS-MAN-003

Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)

Date	Jump (km)	Implied Speed (kn)	Score	Severity	Spoofed-To Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 10 events · Max COG std: 124.8°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. MISTY K II records COG deviations up to 124.8° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

10

Max COG Std Dev

124.8°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

Port History

7 distinct port areas · US primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Vancouver	🇨🇦	14	0.9175	0.6	STANDARD
Miami	🇺🇸	5	0.8872	13.4	STANDARD
New York	🇺🇸	3	0.8203	11.1	STANDARD
Wilmington NC	🇺🇸	3	0.8201	81.5	STANDARD
Jacksonville	🇺🇸	1	0.8277	32.0	STANDARD
Port Canaveral	🇺🇸	1	0.8459	19.5	STANDARD
Port Everglades	🇺🇸	1	0.7416	30.2	STANDARD

🇨🇦 Vancouver — Port Profile

14 detections · Avg score 0.9175 · Avg distance 0.6 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

14

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.9175

Avg Distance NM

0.6

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Vancouver

POSITION_JUMP

12

ZIGZAG

2

Coordinates: 49.283°N, 123.120°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

14 of 28 total detections (50.0%)

Avg Distance from Port

0.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Miami — Port Profile

5 detections · Avg score 0.8872 · Avg distance 13.4 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

5

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.8872

Avg Distance NM

13.4

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Miami

POSITION_JUMP

3

ZIGZAG

2

Coordinates: 25.774°N, 80.190°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

5 of 28 total detections (17.9%)

Avg Distance from Port

13.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 New York — Port Profile

3 detections · Avg score 0.8203 · Avg distance 11.1 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

3

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.8203

Avg Distance NM

11.1

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at New York

POSITION_JUMP

2

ZIGZAG

1

Coordinates: 40.661°N, 74.044°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

3 of 28 total detections (10.7%)

Avg Distance from Port

11.1 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Wilmington NC — Port Profile

3 detections · Avg score 0.8201 · Avg distance 81.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

3

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.8201

Avg Distance NM

81.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Wilmington NC

ZIGZAG

2

POSITION_JUMP

1

Coordinates: 34.235°N, 77.948°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

3 of 28 total detections (10.7%)

Avg Distance from Port

81.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Jacksonville — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.8277 · Avg distance 32.0 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.8277

Avg Distance NM

32.0

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Jacksonville

ZIGZAG

1

Coordinates: 30.332°N, 81.660°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 28 total detections (3.6%)

Avg Distance from Port

32.0 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Port Canaveral — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.8459 · Avg distance 19.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.8459

Avg Distance NM

19.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Port Canaveral

ZIGZAG

1

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 28 total detections (3.6%)

Avg Distance from Port

19.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Port Everglades — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.7416 · Avg distance 30.2 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7416

Avg Distance NM

30.2

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Port Everglades

ZIGZAG

1

Coordinates: 26.083°N, 80.117°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 28 total detections (3.6%)

Avg Distance from Port

30.2 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

MISTY K II

MMSI

338219251

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇺🇸 US

MID Code

338 → 🇺🇸 US

Primary Port

Vancouver

Detection Period

7 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

Requires investigation

Speed Capability

Within or near physical limits for vessel type

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)