#457 MSC SAGITTA III // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

MSC SAGITTA III · MMSI 255806485 · 🇵🇹 BS · Primary Port: Freeport

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: MSC SAGITTA III ranks #457 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 36 anomalous detections across 7 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: DARK_VESSEL, POSITION_JUMP, ZIGZAG.

Global Rank

#457

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

36

Months Active

7/12

Unique Ports

6

Dark Events

2

AIS blackout

Position Jumps

1

GPS spoofing

Max Jump

259km

Monthly Detection Volume

10
5

11
2

12
5

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

ZIGZAG

9

DARK_VESSEL

2

POSITION_JUMP

1

Key Intelligence Findings

AIS Blackout Confirmed — 2 Events

Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where MSC SAGITTA III was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.

GPS Spoofing — 1 Position Jumps

AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 259 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.

Evasion Navigation — 9 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 101.5° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.

Port Detection Summary

🇧🇸

Freeport

4

avg 0.726

🇨🇺

Havana

2

avg 0.779

🇺🇸

Houston

2

avg 0.731

🇺🇸

Savannah

2

avg 0.607

🇨🇦

Montreal

1

avg 0.724

🇺🇸

Port Canaveral

1

avg 0.742

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
June 2024	5	HIGH	0.7694	Boston	DARK_VESSEL; ZIGZAG
July 2024	4	MEDIUM	0.6102	Saint John	ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL
August 2024	13	MEDIUM	0.7042	Freeport	DARK_VESSEL; ZIGZAG
September 2024	2	CRITICAL	0.9500	Freeport	DARK_VESSEL; POSITION_JUMP
October 2024	5	HIGH	0.7634	Freeport	ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP; DARK_VESSEL
November 2024	2	CRITICAL	0.9000	Freeport	ZIGZAG
December 2024	5	MEDIUM	0.7416	Montreal	ZIGZAG; DARK_VESSEL

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	CONFIRMED	2 events detected	CRITICAL
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	CONFIRMED	1 jumps · max 258.6km	CRITICAL
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	9 events · max COG std 101.5°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	CONFIRMED	6 unique ports	HIGH
High-Risk Port Proximity: Havana	CONFIRMED	2 detections	HIGH

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Freeport and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

7 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

36 detections across 12 individual events (avg 5.1/month)

Active Techniques

◐ DARK ⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG

Threat Category

High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 101.5°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 9 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
9 events

MAR-T004

AIS-MAN-001

AIS Blackout

Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 2 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
2 events

MAR-T002

AIS-MAN-003

GPS Spoofing

GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 258.6km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 1 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.7770

Global Rank

#457

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	2	×3	6.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	1	×2	2.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	0	×1	0.0
ZIGZAG	9	×0.5	4.5
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⊕ Position Jump Detections

Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 1 events · Max jump: 259 km

GPS SPOOFING

Position jumps confirm GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. MSC SAGITTA III has 1 confirmed position jumps with maximum displacement of 259 km.

Total Events

1

Max Jump Distance

259 km

Indicator ID

AIS-MAN-003

Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)

Date	Jump (km)	Implied Speed (kn)	Score	Severity	Spoofed-To Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 9 events · Max COG std: 101.5°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. MSC SAGITTA III records COG deviations up to 101.5° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

9

Max COG Std Dev

101.5°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

◐ Dark Vessel Events

Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 2 AIS blackout events detected

AIS BLACKOUT

⚠ HIGH SIGNIFICANCE: Dark vessel events represent deliberate AIS transponder deactivation — a primary indicator of intentional surveillance evasion, covert cargo transfer, or sanctions circumvention.

Dark Vessel Events

2

Indicator

AIS-MAN-001

Risk Level

CRITICAL

◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-10-27T05:19:25

AIS BLACKOUT

Location

24.0753°N, 84.4554°W — Havana

AIS Gap Duration

10.8 hours

Pre-Blackout Speed

17.6 knots SOG

Displacement

128.6 NM from port during gap

Score

0.7786 · HIGH

Assessment

AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.

◐ DARK EVENT #2 — 2024-12-29T08:13:08

AIS BLACKOUT

Location

28.1820°N, 79.3774°W — Port Canaveral

AIS Gap Duration

11.6 hours

Pre-Blackout Speed

11.4 knots SOG

Displacement

67.8 NM from port during gap

Score

0.7420 · HIGH

Assessment

AIS gap consistent with deliberate concealment.

Port History

6 distinct port areas · BS primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Freeport	🇧🇸	4	0.7260	9.6	STANDARD
Havana	🇨🇺	2	0.7790	113.7	HIGH
Houston	🇺🇸	2	0.7309	20.0	STANDARD
Savannah	🇺🇸	2	0.6066	20.9	STANDARD
Montreal	🇨🇦	1	0.7237	3.5	STANDARD
Port Canaveral	🇺🇸	1	0.7420	67.8	STANDARD

🇧🇸 Freeport — Port Profile

4 detections · Avg score 0.7260 · Avg distance 9.6 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

4

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.7260

Avg Distance NM

9.6

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Freeport

ZIGZAG

4

Coordinates: 26.526°N, 78.700°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇧🇸 BS

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

4 of 12 total detections (33.3%)

Avg Distance from Port

9.6 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇨🇺 Havana — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.7790 · Avg distance 113.7 NM

HIGH RISK

⚠ HIGH RISK PORT: Havana is a known high-risk transshipment zone associated with illicit maritime activity. Detections here require elevated scrutiny.

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7790

Avg Distance NM

113.7

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Havana

POSITION_JUMP

1

DARK_VESSEL

1

Coordinates: 23.137°N, 82.377°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇺 CU

Risk Classification

HIGH — HIGH

Detection Share

2 of 12 total detections (16.7%)

Avg Distance from Port

113.7 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Houston — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.7309 · Avg distance 20.0 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7309

Avg Distance NM

20.0

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Houston

ZIGZAG

2

Coordinates: 29.749°N, 95.362°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

2 of 12 total detections (16.7%)

Avg Distance from Port

20.0 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Savannah — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.6066 · Avg distance 20.9 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.6066

Avg Distance NM

20.9

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Savannah

ZIGZAG

2

Coordinates: 32.083°N, 81.100°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

2 of 12 total detections (16.7%)

Avg Distance from Port

20.9 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇨🇦 Montreal — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.7237 · Avg distance 3.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7237

Avg Distance NM

3.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Montreal

ZIGZAG

1

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 12 total detections (8.3%)

Avg Distance from Port

3.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Port Canaveral — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.7420 · Avg distance 67.8 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7420

Avg Distance NM

67.8

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Port Canaveral

DARK_VESSEL

1

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 12 total detections (8.3%)

Avg Distance from Port

67.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

MSC SAGITTA III

MMSI

255806485

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇵🇹 BS

MID Code

255 → 🇵🇹 BS

Primary Port

Freeport

Detection Period

7 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

Requires investigation

Speed Capability

Within or near physical limits for vessel type

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)