#459 EXPLORER // Vessel Intelligence System

Intelligence Overview

EXPLORER · MMSI 367590650 · 🇺🇸 CA · Primary Port: Victoria

PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024

⚠ INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT: EXPLORER ranks #459 of 69,461 monitored vessels with 36 anomalous detections across 6 months. Composite risk score: 0.9500 (CRITICAL). Active alert types: ZIGZAG, SPEED_ANOMALY, POSITION_JUMP.

Global Rank

#459

of 69,461 vessels

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Total Detections

36

Months Active

6/12

Unique Ports

5

Position Jumps

15

GPS spoofing

Speed Anomalies

9

Max Speed

102.2 kn

Max Jump

976km

Monthly Detection Volume

1
1

10
4

11
6

12
11

2
11

2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS

Alert Type Distribution

POSITION_JUMP

15

ZIGZAG

9

SPEED_ANOMALY

9

Key Intelligence Findings

GPS Spoofing — 15 Position Jumps

AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 976 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.

Velocity Fraud — 9 Speed Anomaly Events

AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.

Evasion Navigation — 9 Zigzag Events

Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 123.6° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.

Port Detection Summary

🇨🇦

Victoria

19

avg 0.782

🇺🇸

Seattle

8

avg 0.692

🇺🇸

Portland OR

3

avg 0.842

🇨🇦

Vancouver

2

avg 0.750

🇺🇸

Tacoma

1

avg 0.766

Monthly Alert Log — All Months

Month	Detections	Severity	Score	Nearest Port	Alert Types
January 2024	1	HIGH	0.7778	Victoria	ZIGZAG
February 2024	11	HIGH	0.8294	Seattle	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
May 2024	3	HIGH	0.8750	Victoria	ZIGZAG
October 2024	4	HIGH	0.8302	Victoria	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
November 2024	6	MEDIUM	0.7163	Victoria	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG
December 2024	11	CRITICAL	0.9500	Victoria	POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG

Activity Map

Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom

● Speed Anomaly ● Position Jump ● Zigzag ● Dark Vessel ● Rendezvous

Threat Intelligence

Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment

Threat Indicators Matrix

Indicator	Status	Evidence	Confidence
AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
GPS Spoofing / Position Jump	CONFIRMED	15 jumps · max 975.5km	CRITICAL
Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly	CONFIRMED	9 events · max 102.2 kn	CRITICAL
Evasion Navigation / Zigzag	CONFIRMED	9 events · max COG std 123.6°	HIGH
Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous	NOT DETECTED	—	LOW
Multi-Port Operations	CONFIRMED	5 unique ports	HIGH

Operational Profile

Primary AO

Victoria and surrounding maritime zone

Active Period

6 months of continuous alert activity in 2024

Alert Density

36 detections across 33 individual events (avg 6.0/month)

Active Techniques

⟳ ZIGZAG ⚡ SPEED ⊕ POS JUMP

Threat Category

High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques

TTP Analysis

Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework

MAR-T002

AIS-MAN-003

GPS Spoofing

GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 975.5km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 15 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
15 events

MAR-T003

RTE-ANO-005

Evasion Navigation

Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 123.6°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 9 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
9 events

MAR-T001

RTE-ANO-001

Velocity Fraud

AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 9 events.

HIGH CONFIDENCE
9 events

Risk Analysis

Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4

Composite Score

0.9500

CRITICAL

Avg Detection Score

0.8298

Global Rank

#459

of 69,461 vessels

Weighted Indicator Scoring

Formula: (Dark×3) + (Rendezvous×4) + (PosJump×2) + (Speed×1) + (Zigzag×0.5) + (MaxScore×50)

Indicator	Count	Weight	Contribution
DARK_VESSEL	0	×3	0.0
RENDEZVOUS	0	×4	0.0
POSITION_JUMP	15	×2	30.0
SPEED_ANOMALY	9	×1	9.0
ZIGZAG	9	×0.5	4.5
MaxSingleScore	0.9500	×50	47.5
COMPOSITE TOTAL	Normalized [0,1]		0.9500 CRITICAL

⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections

Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 9 events · Max: 102.2 kn

AIS SOG FRAUD

Speed anomaly events are triggered when AIS Speed Over Ground (SOG) exceeds the 30-knot detection threshold. EXPLORER reports speeds up to 102.2 kn — consistent with deliberate AIS SOG field manipulation to corrupt tracking algorithms.

Total Events

9

Max Reported SOG

102.2 kn

Indicator ID

RTE-ANO-001

Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)

Date	Max SOG (kn)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

⊕ Position Jump Detections

Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 15 events · Max jump: 976 km

GPS SPOOFING

Position jumps confirm GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. EXPLORER has 15 confirmed position jumps with maximum displacement of 976 km.

Total Events

15

Max Jump Distance

976 km

Indicator ID

AIS-MAN-003

Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)

Date	Jump (km)	Implied Speed (kn)	Score	Severity	Spoofed-To Port	Coordinates

⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation

Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 9 events · Max COG std: 123.6°

EVASION PATTERN

Zigzag events are triggered when course-over-ground (COG) standard deviation exceeds 50°. EXPLORER records COG deviations up to 123.6° — consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers or at-anchor AIS noise manipulation.

Total Events

9

Max COG Std Dev

123.6°

Threshold

50°

Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)

Date	COG Std Dev (°)	Score	Severity	Port	Coordinates

Port History

5 distinct port areas · CA primary flag state

Complete Port Detection Summary

Port	Country	Detections	Avg Score	Avg Dist NM	Risk
Victoria	🇨🇦	19	0.7824	28.4	STANDARD
Seattle	🇺🇸	8	0.6920	71.5	STANDARD
Portland OR	🇺🇸	3	0.8424	71.8	STANDARD
Vancouver	🇨🇦	2	0.7504	173.5	STANDARD
Tacoma	🇺🇸	1	0.7660	70.3	STANDARD

🇨🇦 Victoria — Port Profile

19 detections · Avg score 0.7824 · Avg distance 28.4 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

19

Primary port of operation

Avg Alert Score

0.7824

Avg Distance NM

28.4

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Victoria

POSITION_JUMP

8

ZIGZAG

6

SPEED_ANOMALY

5

Coordinates: 48.424°N, 123.370°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

19 of 33 total detections (57.6%)

Avg Distance from Port

28.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Seattle — Port Profile

8 detections · Avg score 0.6920 · Avg distance 71.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

8

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.6920

Avg Distance NM

71.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Seattle

POSITION_JUMP

5

ZIGZAG

2

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 47.601°N, 122.334°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

8 of 33 total detections (24.2%)

Avg Distance from Port

71.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Portland OR — Port Profile

3 detections · Avg score 0.8424 · Avg distance 71.8 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

3

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.8424

Avg Distance NM

71.8

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Portland OR

SPEED_ANOMALY

2

ZIGZAG

1

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

3 of 33 total detections (9.1%)

Avg Distance from Port

71.8 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇨🇦 Vancouver — Port Profile

2 detections · Avg score 0.7504 · Avg distance 173.5 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

2

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7504

Avg Distance NM

173.5

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Vancouver

POSITION_JUMP

1

SPEED_ANOMALY

1

Coordinates: 49.283°N, 123.120°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇨🇦 CA

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

2 of 33 total detections (6.1%)

Avg Distance from Port

173.5 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

🇺🇸 Tacoma — Port Profile

1 detections · Avg score 0.7660 · Avg distance 70.3 NM

LOW RISK

Total Detections

1

Secondary port

Avg Alert Score

0.7660

Avg Distance NM

70.3

Port proximity zone

Detection Types at Tacoma

POSITION_JUMP

1

Coordinates: 47.254°N, 122.411°W

Port Intelligence Notes

Port Country

🇺🇸 US

Risk Classification

LOW — Standard port monitoring applies

Detection Share

1 of 33 total detections (3.0%)

Avg Distance from Port

70.3 NM — consistent with port proximity operations

Ownership Intelligence

MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation

Vessel Name

EXPLORER

MMSI

367590650

Flag State (MMSI-derived)

🇺🇸 CA

MID Code

367 → 🇺🇸 CA

Primary Port

Victoria

Detection Period

6 months (2024)

Registered Owner

Pending registry lookup

Beneficial Owner

Requires FinCEN CDD query

OFAC SDN Status

Pending cross-reference

Recommended Action

Physical inspection + full registry query

Vessel Type Analysis

AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior

Type Mismatch Assessment

AIS Declared Type

vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)

Behavior Consistency

Requires investigation

Speed Capability

Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)

Inspection Priority

HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review

Applicable Statutes

47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)