Intelligence Overview
HOT ROD · MMSI 242410020 · 🏴 PR · Primary Port: San Juan
PERIOD: JAN–DEC 2024
Global Rank
#465
of 69,461 vessels
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Total Detections
35
Months Active
10/12
Unique Ports
1
Dark Events
1
AIS blackout
Position Jumps
1
GPS spoofing
Speed Anomalies
8
Max Speed
102.2 kn
Max Jump
219km
Monthly Detection Volume
2024 MONTHLY DETECTIONS
Alert Type Distribution
Key Intelligence Findings
AIS Blackout Confirmed — 1 Event
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation detected. Each event represents a period where HOT ROD was operating outside electronic surveillance. Consistent with covert cargo transfer or evasion operations.
GPS Spoofing — 1 Position Jumps
AIS coordinates fabricated at impossible locations. Maximum jump of 219 km confirms the AIS transmitter is broadcasting false positions. Systematic identity concealment is in progress.
Velocity Fraud — 8 Speed Anomaly Events
AIS SOG field manipulated to broadcast physically impossible speeds up to 102.2 knots. Systematic falsification of movement data to corrupt automated tracking algorithms.
Evasion Navigation — 13 Zigzag Events
Erratic course-over-ground patterns up to 128.1° std deviation, far exceeding the 50° anomaly threshold. Pattern consistent with surveillance evasion maneuvers.
Port Detection Summary
Monthly Alert Log — All Months
| Month | Detections | Severity | Score | Nearest Port | Alert Types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 2024 | 6 | HIGH | 0.8259 | San Juan | ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| March 2024 | 7 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | San Juan | SPEED_ANOMALY; ZIGZAG |
| April 2024 | 3 | CRITICAL | 0.9500 | San Juan | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| May 2024 | 2 | CRITICAL | 0.9000 | San Juan | ZIGZAG |
| June 2024 | 1 | MEDIUM | 0.5233 | San Juan | ZIGZAG |
| July 2024 | 6 | HIGH | 0.8799 | San Juan | ZIGZAG; POSITION_JUMP; SPEED_ANOMALY |
| August 2024 | 2 | MEDIUM | 0.7143 | San Juan | ZIGZAG |
| September 2024 | 1 | HIGH | 0.8971 | San Juan | ZIGZAG |
| October 2024 | 1 | MEDIUM | 0.6185 | San Juan | ZIGZAG |
| November 2024 | 6 | MEDIUM | 0.7102 | San Juan | ZIGZAG; SPEED_ANOMALY; DARK_VESSEL |
Activity Map
Detection events plotted · Color-coded by alert type · Drag to pan · Scroll to zoom
● Speed Anomaly
● Position Jump
● Zigzag
● Dark Vessel
● Rendezvous
Threat Intelligence
Analytical confidence: HIGH · Multi-indicator assessment
Threat Indicators Matrix
| Indicator | Status | Evidence | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIS Blackout / Dark Vessel | CONFIRMED | 1 events detected | CRITICAL |
| GPS Spoofing / Position Jump | CONFIRMED | 1 jumps · max 218.6km | CRITICAL |
| Velocity Fraud / Speed Anomaly | CONFIRMED | 8 events · max 102.2 kn | CRITICAL |
| Evasion Navigation / Zigzag | CONFIRMED | 13 events · max COG std 128.1° | HIGH |
| Ship-to-Ship Rendezvous | NOT DETECTED | — | LOW |
| Multi-Port Operations | POSSIBLE | 1 unique ports | MEDIUM |
Operational Profile
Primary AO
San Juan and surrounding maritime zone
Active Period
10 months of continuous alert activity in 2024
Alert Density
35 detections across 23 individual events (avg 3.5/month)
Active Techniques
◐ DARK ⚡ SPEED ⊕ POS JUMP ⟳ ZIGZAG
Threat Category
High-Confidence AIS Manipulation — Multiple confirmed evasion techniques
TTP Analysis
Tactics, Techniques & Procedures — Maritime ATT&CK Framework
MAR-T003
RTE-ANO-005
Evasion Navigation
Erratic COG changes exceeding 50° threshold (max 128.1°). Consistent with surveillance evasion or at-anchor AIS manipulation. Count: 13 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
13 events
13 events
MAR-T001
RTE-ANO-001
Velocity Fraud
AIS SOG field manipulation to broadcast impossible speeds up to 102.2 kn. Corrupts automated tracking algorithms and creates false movement vectors. Count: 8 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
8 events
8 events
MAR-T002
AIS-MAN-003
GPS Spoofing
GPS coordinate spoofing — AIS positions fabricated at impossible locations. Max jump: 218.6km. Implies deliberate identity concealment. Count: 1 events.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events
1 events
MAR-T004
AIS-MAN-001
AIS Blackout
Deliberate AIS transponder deactivation to create surveillance gaps. Count: 1 events. Each event represents an unmonitored operational window.
HIGH CONFIDENCE
1 events
1 events
Risk Analysis
Composite risk scoring · Weighted indicator model · Quantus v2.4
Composite Score
0.9500
CRITICAL
Avg Detection Score
0.7969
Global Rank
#465
of 69,461 vessels
Weighted Indicator Scoring
| Indicator | Count | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| DARK_VESSEL | 1 | ×3 | 3.0 |
| RENDEZVOUS | 0 | ×4 | 0.0 |
| POSITION_JUMP | 1 | ×2 | 2.0 |
| SPEED_ANOMALY | 8 | ×1 | 8.0 |
| ZIGZAG | 13 | ×0.5 | 6.5 |
| MaxSingleScore | 0.9500 | ×50 | 47.5 |
| COMPOSITE TOTAL | Normalized [0,1] | 0.9500 CRITICAL | |
⚡ Speed Anomaly Detections
Indicator: RTE-ANO-001 · 8 events · Max: 102.2 kn
Total Events
8
Max Reported SOG
102.2 kn
Indicator ID
RTE-ANO-001
Speed Anomaly Events (Top 50 by score)
| Date | Max SOG (kn) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⊕ Position Jump Detections
Indicator: AIS-MAN-003 · 1 events · Max jump: 219 km
Total Events
1
Max Jump Distance
219 km
Indicator ID
AIS-MAN-003
Position Jump Events (Top 50 by distance)
| Date | Jump (km) | Implied Speed (kn) | Score | Severity | Spoofed-To Port | Coordinates |
|---|
⟳ Zigzag / Erratic Navigation
Indicator: RTE-ANO-005 · 13 events · Max COG std: 128.1°
Total Events
13
Max COG Std Dev
128.1°
Threshold
50°
Zigzag Events (Top 50 by COG deviation)
| Date | COG Std Dev (°) | Score | Severity | Port | Coordinates |
|---|
◐ Dark Vessel Events
Indicator: AIS-MAN-001 · 1 AIS blackout events detected
Dark Vessel Events
1
Indicator
AIS-MAN-001
Risk Level
CRITICAL
◐ DARK EVENT #1 — 2024-11-24T12:18:08
AIS BLACKOUT
Location
18.2894°N, 65.2797°W — San Juan
AIS Gap Duration
8.0 hours
Pre-Blackout Speed
0.6 knots SOG
Displacement
48.2 NM from port during gap
Score
0.5393 · LOW
Assessment
Near-stationary approach before blackout — possible rendezvous/transfer signature.
Port History
1 distinct port areas · PR primary flag state
Complete Port Detection Summary
| Port | Country | Detections | Avg Score | Avg Dist NM | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Juan | 🇵🇷 | 23 | 0.7383 | 50.4 | STANDARD |
🇵🇷 San Juan — Port Profile
23 detections · Avg score 0.7383 · Avg distance 50.4 NM
Total Detections
23
Primary port of operation
Avg Alert Score
0.7383
Avg Distance NM
50.4
Port proximity zone
Detection Types at San Juan
Coordinates: 18.465°N, 66.115°W
Port Intelligence Notes
Port Country
🇵🇷 PR
Risk Classification
LOW — Standard port monitoring applies
Detection Share
23 of 23 total detections (100.0%)
Avg Distance from Port
50.4 NM — consistent with port proximity operations
Ownership Intelligence
MMSI registry · Flag state analysis · Beneficial ownership investigation
Vessel Name
HOT ROD
MMSI
242410020
Flag State (MMSI-derived)
🏴 PR
MID Code
242 → 🏴 PR
Primary Port
San Juan
Detection Period
10 months (2024)
Registered Owner
Pending registry lookup
Beneficial Owner
Requires FinCEN CDD query
OFAC SDN Status
Pending cross-reference
Recommended Action
Physical inspection + full registry query
Vessel Type Analysis
AIS declared type · Physical capability vs. observed behavior
Type Mismatch Assessment
AIS Declared Type
vessel_type=37 (Pleasure Craft)
Behavior Consistency
Requires investigation
Speed Capability
Reported 102.2 kn — physically impossible for Type 37 (max ~45 kn high-performance)
Inspection Priority
HIGH — Recommend USCG/CBSA physical boarding and documentation review
Applicable Statutes
47 C.F.R. § 80.953 (AIS falsification) · 33 C.F.R. § 164.46 (AIS carriage) · 21 U.S.C. § 955 (maritime drug law)